Preview

Voprosy Ekonomiki

Advanced search
Open Access Open Access  Restricted Access Subscription Access

The role of regional trade agreements in promoting international trade in services

https://doi.org/10.32609/0042-8736-2025-10-28-43

Abstract

This study presents the authors’ specification of a gravity model to assess the significance of the impact of trade agreements containing provisions on the liberalization of market access to services on the growth of their exports. The purpose of the article is to determine whether an existing trade agreement has a significant positive effect on the intensification of services flows, both in general and by sector. With the development of telecommunications technologies and the destabilization of goods trade due to the pandemic and increasing fragmentation of the global economy, trade in services has demonstrated steady growth and makes a significant contribution to nations’ GDP. Today, the share of agreements that include provisions on the liberalization of trade in services has significantly increased. The nature and specifics of service regulation complicate the application of traditional market analysis methods used for goods to assess the effects of trade agreements. The gravity model specification developed by the authors helps solve this problem. The study confirms a significant positive impact of trade agreements on the growth of trade in services. The most significant impact of trade agreements is observed in the insurance services sector. A notable but less substantial impact is found in the construction, telecommunications, computer and information, financial, and business services sectors. However, no significant impact was revealed for transport services and travel. Thus, the study empirically confirms the importance of trade agreements in developing international economic relations in the service sector.

About the Authors

V. N. Zuev
National Research University Higher School of Economics; BRICS Expert Council
Russian Federation

Vladimir N. Zuev

Moscow



E. Y. Ostrovskaya
National Research University Higher School of Economics
Russian Federation

Elena Y. Ostrovskaya

Moscow



V. Y. Skryabina
National Research University Higher School of Economics
Russian Federation

Valentina Y. Skryabina

Moscow



E. V. Vasileva
Eurasian Economic Commission
Russian Federation

Ekaterina V. Vasileva

Moscow



References

1. Ivanova N. A. (2019). Main trends in the development of trade in services in the global economy. Trade Policy, Vol. 3, No. 19, pp. 45—57. (In Russian). https://doi.org/10.17323/2499- 9415-2019-3-19-45-57

2. Zuev V. N., Ostrovskaya E. Y., Skryabina V. Y. (2023). Trade damper effect of regional trade agreements. Voprosy Ekonomiki, No. 2, pp. 83—99. (In Russian). https://doi.org/10.32609/0042-8736-2023-2-83-99

3. Latypova Y. N., Pyzhikov N. S. (2020). Analysis of RCEP key agreements. Monitoring Aktualnykh Sobytiy v Oblasti Mezhdunarodnoy Torgovli. Vol. 61, pp. 3—5. (In Russian).

4. UN et al. (2011). Manual on statistics of international trade in services 2010 (MSITS 2010).

5. Salamatov V., Tangaeva A., Kolomin V. (2022). RCEP in the system of mega-regional trade agreements. World Eсonomy and International Relations, Vol. 66, No. 2, pp. 23—32. (In Russian). https://doi.org/10.20542/0131-2227-2022-66-2-23-32

6. Anderson J., Borchert I., Mattoo A., Yotov V. (2018). Dark costs, missing data: Shedding some light on services trade. European Economic Review, Vol. 105, pp. 193—214. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.euroecorev.2018.03.015

7. Anderson J., Van Wincoop E. (2003). Gravity with gravitas: A solution to the border puzzle. The American Economic Review, Vol. 93, No. 1, pp. 170—192. https://doi.org/10.1257/000282803321455214

8. Baier S. L., Bergstrand J. H. (2007). Do free trade agreements actually increase members’ international trade? Journal of International Economics, Vol. 71, No. 1, pp. 72—95. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jinteco.2006.02.005

9. Carballo J., Handley K., Limao N. (2022). Economic and policy uncertainty: Aggregate export dynamics and the value of agreements. Journal of International Economics, Vol. 139, article 103661. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jinteco.2022.103661

10. Daniltsev A., Biryukova O. (2015). Beyond the GATS: Implicit engines in services RTAs. Panoeconomicus, Vol. 62, No. 3, pp. 321—337. https://doi.org/10.2298/PAN1503321D

11. Grünfeld L. A., Moxnes A. (2003). The intangible globalization: Explaining the patterns of international trade in services. NUPI Working Paper, No. 657.

12. Guillin A. (2011). Trade in services and regional trade agreements: Do negotiations on services have to be specific? World Economy, Vol. 36, No. 11, pp. 1406—1423. https://doi.org/10.1111/twec.12102

13. Kimura F., Lee H. H. (2006). The gravity equation in international trade in services. Review of World Economics, Vol. 142, pp. 92—121. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10290-006-0058-8

14. McCallum J. (1995). National borders matter: Canada—US regional trade patterns. American Economic Review, Vol. 85, No. 3, pp. 615—623.

15. Miroudot S., Shepherd B. (2014). The paradox of ‘preferences’: Regional trade agreements and trade costs in services. The World Economy, Vol. 37, No. 12, pp. 1751—1772. https://doi.org/10.1111/twec.12178

16. Nicita A., Saygili M. (2021). Trade agreements and trade resilience during COVID-19 pandemic. UNCTAD Research Paper, No. 70. OECD (2024). OECD services trade restrictiveness index policy trends up to 2024. Paris: OECD Publ. https://doi.org/10.1787/b9e5c870-en

17. Olivero M. P., Yotov Y. V. (2012). Dynamic gravity: Endogenous country size and asset accumulation. Canadian Journal of Economics, Vol. 45, No. 1, pp. 64—92. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-5982.2011.01687.x

18. Santos Silva J. M. C., Tenreyro S. (2006). The log of gravity. The Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 88, No. 4, pp. 641—658. https://doi.org/10.1162/rest.88.4.641

19. Tinbergen J. (1962). Shaping the world economy: Suggestions for an international economic policy. New York: The Twentieth Century Fund.

20. UNCTAD (2024). Trade in services. Annual bulletin. No. 3. September.

21. Walsh K. (2006). Trade in services: Does gravity hold? A gravity model approach to estimating barriers to services trade. Institute for International Integration Studies Discussion Paper Series, No. 183. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.945335

22. WTO (2019). World trade report 2019: The future of services trade. Geneva: World Trade Organization.

23. WTO (2023a). World trade report 2023: Re-globalization for a secure, inclusive and sustainable future. Geneva: World Trade Organization.

24. WTO (2023b). Regional trade agreements database. https://rtais.wto.org/UI/PublicMaintainRTAHome.aspx

25. WTO (2023c). World trade statistical review 2023. Geneva: World Trade Organization.

26. Yotov Y. V., Piermartini R., Monteiro J.-A., Larch M. (2016). An advanced guide to trade policy analysis: The structural gravity model. Geneva: World Trade Organization. https://doi.org/10.30875/abc0167e-en


Supplementary files

Review

For citations:


Zuev V.N., Ostrovskaya E.Y., Skryabina V.Y., Vasileva E.V. The role of regional trade agreements in promoting international trade in services. Voprosy Ekonomiki. 2025;(10):28-43. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.32609/0042-8736-2025-10-28-43

Views: 14


ISSN 0042-8736 (Print)