Причины торможения глобального перехода к модели устойчивого развития

Рассматриваются вопросы торможения глобального перехода к модели устойчивого развития. Предпринята попытка ответить на два вопроса: каково текущее состояние данного перехода, можно ли говорить о его замедлении либо об остановке и каковы причины (факторы) такого замедления? Для ответа на первый вопрос проанализирована динамика Индекса ЦУР и ответственных инвестиций. Сделан вывод, что после 2019 г. наблюдается замедление глобального перехода к модели устойчивого развития, при этом нет оснований говорить о его остановке. Для ответа на второй вопрос выделены глобальные факторы торможения данного перехода; они подразделены на три группы: кратко- и среднесрочные глобальные процессы; появление новых «проблем роста», заменяющих «проблемы становления» без адекватного изменения в политиках; фундаментальные противоречия модели устойчивого развития. Исходя из полученных результатов, можно приступить к прогнозированию развития модели устойчивого развития на глобальном уровне и на уровне отдельных стран и регионов. Здесь требуется сопоставить действующие факторы торможения с факторами, предопределившими долгосрочный импульс для опережающего развития устойчивых финансов и выступающими важнейшим инструментом формирования новой модели, а также вновь возникающими мощными экономическими, технологическими и поведенческими факторами, которые могут ускорить переход к модели устойчивого развития. 

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