Preview

Voprosy Ekonomiki

Advanced search
Open Access Open Access  Restricted Access Subscription Access

How does bank lending affect small and medium-sized businesses?

https://doi.org/10.32609/0042-8736-2024-8-68-88

Abstract

The article analyzes the influence of bank lending on the dynamics of small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) in the regions of Russia in 2012—2023. Was the dynamics of bank loans to SMEs an essential factor of development and employment of the sector? This is an important issue, since expanding the availability of lending is often considered as a key method for supporting SMEs and diversification of the economy. We use data of the Federal State Statistics Service on the turnover and the number of employees in small, medium and micro enterprises in Russian regions, on the one hand, and the data of the Central Bank of the Russian Federation on the bank lending to SMEs, on the other. We estimate how changes in SMEs lending amounts affect SMEs turnover and employment using the Alellano—Bond dynamic panel regression approach. It has been found that lending dynamics was a significant factor in changes of the turnover in the SMEs sector, and, to a lesser extent, employment in small enterprises. However, a significant increase in lending is required to significantly increase the size of the sector and its share in the country’s economy and employment.

About the Author

A. V. Mishura
HSE University; Institute of Economics and Industrial Engineering, the Siberian Branch of the RAS
Russian Federation

Anna V. Mishura.

St. Petersburg; Novosibirsk



References

1. Ageeva S. D., Mishura A. V. (2019). Impact of spatial concentration of the Russian banking sector on lending to regions and small and medium businesses. Voprosy Ekonomiki, No. 1, pp. 92—108. (In Russian). https://doi.org/10.32609/0042-8736-2019-1-92-108

2. Bank of Russia (2024). Lending to small and medium-sized enterprises: Statistical bulletin. Moscow. (In Russian).

3. Barinova V. A., Zemtsov S. P., Tsareva Y. V. (2018). Entrepreneurship and institutions: Does the relationship exist at the regional level in Russia? Voprosy Ekonomiki, No. 6, pp. 92—116. (In Russian). https://doi.org/10.32609/0042-8736-2018-6-92-116

4. Goncharova O. Y. (2015). Small business lending in modern Russia: Problems and perspectives. Russian Journal of Entrepreneurship, Vol. 16, No. 14, pp. 2125—2138. (In Russian). https://doi.org/10.18334/rp.16.14.521

5. Krinichansky K. V. (2019). Analysis of the impact of credit availability on the dynamics of small and medium-sized businesses in Russia. Financial Markets and Banks, No. 4, pp. 47—52 (In Russian).

6. Larin I., Yakupova Y., Korshunov R., Saraev A. (2024). SME lending in 2023—2024: A market driver role. Moscow: Expert RA. (In Russian).

7. Rosstat (2022). Small and medium-sized enterprises in Russia. 2022: Statistical book. Moscow. (In Russian).

8. Rosstat (2023). Regions of Russia. Socio-economic indicators. 2023: Statistical book. Moscow. (In Russian).

9. Yakupova Y., Teterin V., Korshunov R., Saraev A. (2023). SME lending in 2022-2023: Driving at full speed. Moscow: Expert RA. (In Russian).

10. Ayyagari M., Demirgüç-Kunt A., Maksimovic V. (2008). How important are financing constraints? The role of finance in the business environment. World Bank Economic Review, Vol. 22, No. 3, pp. 483—516. https://doi.org/10.1093/wber/lhn018

11. Ayyagari M., Juarros P., Martinez Peria M., Singh S. (2021). Access to finance and job growth: Firm-level evidence across developing countries. Review of Finance, Vol. 25, No. 5, pp. 1473—1496. https://doi.org/10.1093/rof/rfab003

12. Banerjee A. V., Duflo E. (2014). Do firms want to borrow more? Testing credit constraints using a directed lending program. Review of Economic Studies, Vol. 81, No. 2, pp. 572—607. https://doi.org/10.1093/restud/rdt046

13. Beck T. (2013). Bank financing for SMEs — Lessons from the literature. National Institute Economic Review, Vol. 225, No. 1, pp. R23—R38. https://doi.org/10.1177/002795011322500105

14. Beck T., Demirgüç-Kunt A., Maksimovic V. (2005). Financial and legal constraints to firm growth: Does firm size matter? Journal of Finance, Vol. 60, No. 1, pp. 137—77. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.2005.00727.x

15. Beck T., Demirgüç-Kunt A., Maksimovic V. (2008). Financing patterns around the world: Are small firms different? Journal of Financial Economics, Vol. 89, No. 3, pp. 467—487. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2007.10.005

16. Beck T., Lu L., Yang R. (2015). Finance and growth for microenterprises: Evidence from rural China. World Development, Vol. 67, pp. 38—56. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2014.10.008

17. Chowdhury F., Audretsch D. B., Belitski M. (2019). Institutions and entrepreneurship quality. Entrepreneurship Theory and Practice, Vol. 43, No. 1, pp. 51—81. https://doi.org/10.1177/1042258718780431

18. Cornille D., Rycx F., Tojerow I. (2019). Heterogeneous effects of credit constraints on SMEs’ employment: Evidence from the European sovereign debt crisis. Journal of Financial Stability, Vol. 41, pp. 1—13. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfs.2019.02.001

19. Degryse H., Lu L., Ongena S. (2016). Informal or formal financing? Evidence on the cofunding of Chinese firms. Journal of Financial Intermediation, Vol. 27, pp. 31—50. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfi.2016.05.003

20. Estrin S., Korosteleva J., Mickiewicz T. (2013). Which institutions encourage entrepreneurial growth aspirations? Journal of Business Venturing, Vol. 28, No. 4, pp. 564—580. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbusvent.2012.05.001

21. Gerlach-Kristen P., O’Connell B., O’Toole С. (2015). Do credit constraints affect SME investment and employment? Economic and Social Review, Vol. 46, No. 1, pp. 51—86.

22. Goetz M. R., Gozzi J. С. (2010). Liquidity shocks, local banks, and economic activity: Evidence from the 2007—2009 crisis. Available at SSRN: https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1709677

23. Greenstone M., Mas A., Nguyen H. (2020). Do credit market shocks affect the real economy? Quasi-experimental evidence from the great recession and ‘normal’ economic times. American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, Vol. 12, No. 1, pp. 200—225. https://doi.org/10.1257/pol.20160005

24. Ifeakachukwu N. P. (2013). The impact of banks loan to SMEs on manufacturing output in Nigeria. Journal of Social and Development Sciences, Vol. 4, No. 5, pp. 212—217. https://doi.org/10.22610/jsds.v4i5.754

25. Kersten R., Harms J., Liket K., Maas K. (2017). Small firms, large impact? A systematic review of the SME finance literature. World Development, Vol. 97, pp. 330—348. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2017.04.012

26. Kumar R. (2017). Targeted SME financing and employment effects: What do we know and what can we do differently? Jobs Working Paper, No. 3. Washington, DC: World Bank Group.

27. Kuzilwa J. (2005). The role of credit for small business success: A study of the National Entrepreneurship Development Fund in Tanzania. Journal of Entrepreneurship, Vol. 14, No. 2, pp. 131—161. https://doi.org/10.1177/097135570501400204

28. Nielsen G. (2014). Determinants of cross-national entrepreneurial activity. Journal of Politics and Society, Vol. 25, No. 2, pp. 46—72. https://doi.org/10.7916/D889154V

29. Qamruzzaman M., Jianguo W. (2018). SME financing innovation and SME development in Bangladesh: An application of ARDL. Journal of Small Business & Entrepreneurship, Vol. 31, No. 6, pp. 521—545. https://doi.org/10.1080/08276331.2018.1468975

30. Roodman D. (2009). How to do Xtabond2: An introduction to difference and system GMM in Stata. Stata Journal, Vol. 9, No. 1, pp. 86—136. https://doi.org/10.1177/1536867X0900900106

31. Siemer M. (2019). Employment effects of financial constraints during the great recession. Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 101, No. 1, pp. 16—29. https://doi.org/10.1162/rest_a_00733

32. Ullah B. (2020). Financial constraints, corruption, and SME growth in transition economies. Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Vol. 75, pp. 120—132. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.qref.2019.05.009

33. Zemtsov S., Tsareva Y., Barinova V., Belitski M., Krasnoselskikh A. (2022). Small business in Russia: Institutions, market potential, taxes and digitalization. Post-Communist Economies, Vol. 34, No. 8, pp. 1029—1053. https://doi.org/10.1080/14631377.2022.2108244


Supplementary files

Review

For citations:


Mishura A.V. How does bank lending affect small and medium-sized businesses? Voprosy Ekonomiki. 2024;(8):68-88. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.32609/0042-8736-2024-8-68-88

Views: 889


ISSN 0042-8736 (Print)