

The Map Is Not the Territory: An Essay on the State of Economics
https://doi.org/10.32609/0042-8736-2012-5-4-13
Abstract
The article claims that modern economics is in the state of crisis, because the major macroeconomic theories are in fact based on the concept of rational expectations, and the main method of research is considered to be the model-building with models as "artificial worlds". Therefore it is supposed that the agents expectations are consistent with a theoretical model. Such constructs are often based on aprioristic assumptions and only after the model is built are they confronted with reality. The author defends an alternative view of science which is methodologically more pluralist and sees deductive model-building in need of being supplemented by other methods of inquiry suggesting that economic science abandons claims for universality of its conclusions.
References
1. Беккер Г. Экономический анализ и человеческое поведение // THESIS. 1993. Вып. 1.
2. Левитт С., ДабнерС. Фрикономика. Мнение экономиста-диссидента о неожиданных связях между событиями и явлениями. М.: Вильямс, 2007.
3. Талеб Н. Черный лебедь. Под знаком непредсказуемости. М.: КоЛибри, 2009.
4. Athreya K. Economics is Hard. Don't Let Bloggers Tell You Otherwise / Research Department, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, 2010. http://www.scribd.com/doc/33655771/Economics-is-Hard.
5. Becker G. The Economic Approach to Human Behavior. Chicago: University Of Chicago Press, 1978.
6. Cartwright N. Hunting Causes and Using Them: Approaches in Philosophy and Economics. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2007.
7. Cochrane J. How Did Paul Krugman Get It So Wrong? http://faculty.chicagobooth.edu/ john.cochrane/research/Papers/krugman_response.htm. 2009 Sep. 16.
8. Davidson D. Truth Rehabilitated // Brandom R. (еd.). Rorty and His Critics (Philosophers and their Critics). Oxford: Blackwell, 2000.
9. Friedman M., Savage L. The Utility Analysis of Choices Involving Risk // Journal of Political Economy. 1948. Vol. 56, No 4. P. 279-304.
10. Frydman R., Goldberg M. Imperfect Knowledge Economics: Exchange Rates and Risk. Princeton: Princeton University Press, 2007.
11. Gladwell M. The Tipping Point: How Little Things Can Make a Big Difference. N. Y.: Back Bay Books, 2002.
12. Interview with Thomas Sargent. Sept. 2010. http://www.minneapolisfed.org/publications_papers/ pub_display.cfm?id=4526.
13. Kay J. The Map is Not the Territory: An Essay on the State of Economics / Institute for New Economic Thinking. 2011.
14. Korzybski A. A Non-Aristotelian System and its Necessity for Rigour in Mathematics and Physics // Science and Sanity: An Introduction to Non-Aristotelian Systems and General Semantics. Lakeville: International Non-Aristotelian Library, 1933.
15. Levitt S., Dubner S. Freakonomics [Revised and Expanded]: A Rogue Economist Exploresthe Hidden Side of Everything. N. Y.: William Morrow, 2006.
16. Lewis M. The Big Short: Inside the Doomsday Machine. N. Y.: Norton, 2011.
17. Lucas R. In Defence of the Dismal Science // The Economist. 2009. Aug. 6. www. economist. com/node/14165405.
18. Lucas R. Monetary Neutrality. Lecture to the Memory of Alfred Nobel. http://www.nobelprize.org/ nobel_prizes/economics/laureates/1995/lucas-lecture.html
19. Lucas R. On the Mechanics of Economic Development // Journal of Monetary Economics. 1988. Vol. 22, No 1.
20. Rothschild M., Stiglitz J. Equilibrium in Competitive Insurance Markets: An Essay on the Economics of Imperfect Information // Quarterly Journal of Economics. 1976. Vol. 90, No 4. P. 630-649.
21. Stiglitz J. Monopoly, Non-Linear Pricing, and Imperfect Information: The Insurance Market // Review of Economic Studies. 1977. Vol. 44, No 3. P. 407-430.
22. Stiglitz J., Weiss A. Credit Rationing in Markets with Imperfect Information // American Economic Review. 1981. Vol. 71, No 3. P. 393-410.
23. Taleb N. The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable. 2nd Ed. N. Y.: Random House Trade Paperbacks, 2010.
24. Zuckerman G. The Greatest Trade Ever: The Behind-the-Scenes Story of How John Paulson Defied Wall Street and Made Financial History. N. Y.: Crown Business, 2010.
Review
For citations:
Kay J. The Map Is Not the Territory: An Essay on the State of Economics. Voprosy Ekonomiki. 2012;(5):4-13. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.32609/0042-8736-2012-5-4-13