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The Russian Labor Market: Paradoxes of Post-crisis Performance

https://doi.org/10.32609/0042-8736-2014-7-66-92

Abstract

In the end of 2012 the Russian economy entered a period of permanently declining growth rates. The paper provides a thorough analysis of the labor market performance under these new conditions. We explain why despite economic stagnation its basic characteristics - labor force participation, employment, unemployment, hirings and separations, vacancies - remained at very favorable levels. Our analysis also indicates that though with a certain lag the labor market has started to react to negative economic shocks. We conclude that now effects of long-run structural shifts intervene with effects of short-run economic fluctuations and this will seriously affect the dynamics of the Russian labor market in the medium- and long-term perspectives.

About the Authors

R. Kapeliushnikov
Institute of World Economy and International Relations, Russian Academy of Sciences (Moscow, Russia); National Research University Higher School of Economics (Moscow, Russia)
Russian Federation


A. Oshchepkov
National Research University Higher School of Economics (Moscow, Russia)
Russian Federation


References

1. Kapeliushnikov R.  I. (2002). General and Registered Unemployment: What Are Causes of the Gap? // Working Paper WP3/2002/03. Moscow: HSE Publ.

2. Kapeliushnikov R.  I. (2009). The End of the Russian Model of the Labor Market // Working Paper WP3/2009/06. Moscow: HSE Publ.

3. Maleva T.  M. et al. (eds.) (2002). Employment Outlook for Russia. 1991—2000. Moscow: TEIS.

4. Blanchard O., Katz L. (1996). What We Know and Do not Know about the Natural Rate of Unemployment // NBER Working Papers. No 5822.

5. Gimpelson V., Kapeliushnikov R. (2011). Labor Market Adjustment: Is Russia Different? // IZA Discussion Papers. No 5588.

6. OECD (2013). OECD Employment Outlook. Paris: OECD.


Review

For citations:


Kapeliushnikov R., Oshchepkov A. The Russian Labor Market: Paradoxes of Post-crisis Performance. Voprosy Ekonomiki. 2014;(7):66-92. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.32609/0042-8736-2014-7-66-92

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ISSN 0042-8736 (Print)