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Measuring inflation expectations in Russia using stock market data
https://doi.org/10.32609/0042-8736-2017-10-111-122
Abstract
This paper is devoted to the measurement of inflation expectations in Russia based on stock market data for the period from July 2015 to December 2016. It calculates the difference between the yields of the nominal and inflation-indexed government bonds and adjusts it to the inflation risk premium and liquidity risk premium to obtain inflation expectations. This net indicator represents inflation expectations of the participants of the stock market. The estimated inflation expectations can be used to analyze the effectiveness of the information policy.
About the Authors
M. Zhemkov
Bank of Russia
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
O. Kuznetsova
National Research University Higher School of Economics
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
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Review
For citations:
Zhemkov M., Kuznetsova O. Measuring inflation expectations in Russia using stock market data. Voprosy Ekonomiki. 2017;(10):111-122. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.32609/0042-8736-2017-10-111-122
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