Preview

Voprosy Ekonomiki

Advanced search
Open Access Open Access  Restricted Access Subscription Access

Path from human capital to economic growth: A free highway or a complicated labyrinth?

https://doi.org/10.32609/0042-8736-2017-8-5-23

Abstract

In this paper, we consider a number of causes which can potentially explain why human capital accumulation policies might have limited effect on economic growth. Mixed empirical results can be found in the literature, both supporting and questioning the key role of human capital as an important cause of economic growth. We focus on the latter and start from pointing at inaccurate indicators of human capital accumulation, such as the average years of schooling, which might not reflect with acceptable level of accuracy the level of human capital accumulated in a particular economy. We then consider the role of other causes of economic growth, such as property rights protection or financial markets development, which might affect the demand for human capital, thus potentially limiting the effect of a policy affecting the supply of human capital. We then discuss the efficiency of human capital distribution among various activities in a particular economy and argue that the way the economy uses its human capital stock might matter for its growth rates. Finally we point at potential flaws in education policy, which might result in slow accumulation of human capital.

About the Author

I. Lyubimov
Moscow, Russia
Russian Federation


References

1. Gelman V. (2017). Politics versus policy: technocratic traps of postsoviet transformation (Preprint M-55/17). St. Petersburg: European University in St. Petersburg. (In Russian).

2. Gimpelson V. (2016). Does the Russian economy need human capital? Ten doubts. Voprosy Ekonomiki, No. 10, pp. 129—143. (In Russian).

3. Gimpelson V., Kapeliushnikov R. (2017). Mobility vs. Stability on Russian labor market. Moscow: HSE Publ. (In Russian).

4. Kazakova M., Lyubimov I., Nesterova K. (2016). Does a single reform’s success ensure faster growth? Weak institutions as a cause of reform failure. Ekonomicheskiy Zhurnal VShE, T. 20, No. 4, pp. 624—654. (In Russian).

5. Natkhov T., Polishchuk L. (2012). Engineers or lawyers? Institutions and demand for higher education. Voprosy Ekonomiki, No. 10, pp. 30—51. (In Russian).

6. Acemoglu D., Gallego F., Robinson J. (2014). Institutions, human Capital, and Development. Annual Review of Economics, Vol. 6, pp. 875-912.

7. Acemoglu D., Autor D. (2011). Skills, tasks and technologies: Implications for employment and earnings. In: D. Card, O. Ashenfelter (eds.). Handbook of labor economics, Vol. 4, Part B, pp. 1043-1171. Amsterdam etc.: Elsevier.

8. Acemoglu D., Johnson S., Robinson J. (2001) The Colonial Origins of Comparative Development: An Empirical Investigation. American Economic Review, Vol. 91, No. 5, pp. 1369-1401.

9. Acemoglu D., Johnson S., Robinson J. (2005). Institutions as a fundamental cause of long-run growth. In: Ph. Aghion, S. N. Durlauf (eds.). Handbook of economic growth, Vol. 1A, pp. 386-472. Amsterdam etc.: Elsevier.

10. Andrews M., Pritchett L., Woolcock M. (2012). Escaping capability traps through problem driven iterative adaptation. WIDER Working Paper, No. 2012/64.

11. Autor D., Levy F., Murnane R. (2003). The skill content of recent technological change: An empirical exploration. Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol. 118, No. 4, pp. 1279-1333.

12. Autor D., Katz L., Kearney M. (2006). The polarization of the U.S. Labor market. American Economic Review, Vol. 96, No. 2, pp. 189-194.

13. Beck T., Demirguc-Kunt A., Maksimovic V. (2002). Financial and legal constraints to firm growth - Does size matter? World Bank Policy Research Working Paper, No. 2784.

14. Beine M., Docquire F., Rapoport H. (2001). Brain drain and economic growth: Theory and evidence. Journal of Development Economics, Vol. 64, No. 1, pp. 275-289.

15. Benhabib J., Spiegel М. (1994). The role of human capital in economic development: Evidence from aggregate cross-country data. Journal of Monetary Economics, Vol. 34, No. 2, pp. 143-173.

16. Collier P. (2013). Exodus: Immigration and multiculturalism in the 21st century. L.: Penguin. Denison E. (1962). Education, economic growth, and gaps in information. Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 70, No. 5, pp. 124-128.

17. Easterly W. (2001). The elusive quest for growth. Economists’ adventures and misadventures in the tropics. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.

18. EBRD (2013). Transition report 2013: Stuck in transition? London: EBRD.

19. Eichengreen B., Park D., Shin K. (2013). Growth slowdowns redux: New evidence on the middle-income trap. NBER Working Paper, No. 18673.

20. Fisman R., Miguel E. (2010). Economic gangsters: Corruption, violence and the poverty of nations. Princeton: Princeton University Press.

21. Gennaioli N., La Porta R., Lopez-de-Silanes F., Shleifer A. (2013). Human capital and regional development. Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol. 128, No. 1, pp. 105-164.

22. Glaeser E., La Porta R., Lopez-de-Silanes F., Shleifer A. (2004). Do institutions cause growth? Journal of Economic Growth, Vol. 9, No. 3, pp. 271-303.

23. Hall R., Chad J. (1999). Why do some countries produce so much more output per worker than others? Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol. 114, No. 1, pp. 83-116.

24. Hansen D., Reich J. (2015). Democratizing education? Examining access and usage patterns in massive open online courses. Science, Vol. 350, pp. 1245-1248.

25. Hanushek E., Woessmann L. (2015). The knowledge capital of nations: Education and the economics of growth. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.

26. Hausmann R., Rodrik D., Velasco A. (2005). Growth diagnostics. Unpublished manuscript, Inter-American Development Bank.

27. Hausmann R., Klinger B., Wagner R. (2008). Doing growth diagnostics in practice: A mindbook. CID Working Paper, No 177.

28. Hausmann R., Hidalgo C., Bustos S., Coscia M., Chung S., Jimenez J., Simoes A., Yildirim M. (2011). The atlas of economic complexity: Mapping paths to prosperity. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.

29. Heckman J., Carneiro P. (2003). Human capital policy. NBER Working Papers, No. 9495.

30. IMF (2012). Fiscal policy and employment in advanced and emerging economies. Washington, DC: Fiscal Affairs Department, IMF.

31. Hidalgo C. (2015). Why information grows: The evolution of order, from atoms to economies. New York: Basic Books.

32. IMF (2016). Central, Eastern and South Eastern Europe: How to get back on the fast track. Washington, DC.

33. Krementsov N. (1997). Stalinist science. Princeton: Princeton University Press.

34. Levchenko A. (2007). Institutional quality and international trade. Review of Economic Studies, Vol. 74, No. 3, pp. 791-819.

35. Li X., Liu X., Wang Y. (2015). A Model of China’s State Capitalism. HKUST IEMS Working Paper, No. 2015-12.

36. Lucas R. (1988). On the mechanics of economic development. Journal of Monetary Economics, Vol. 22, No. 1, pp. 3-42.

37. Mankiw G., Romer D., Weil D. (1992). A contribution to the empirics of economic growth. Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol. 107, No. 2, pp. 407-437.

38. Milanovic B. (2013). Global inequality in numbers: In history and now. Global Policy, Vol. 4, No. 2, pp. 198-208.

39. Murphy K., Shleifer A., Vishny R. (1991). Allocation of talent: Implications for growth. Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol. 106, No. 2, pp. 503-530.

40. Natkhov T., Polishchuk L. (2012). Institutions and the allocation of talent (Working Paper WP BRP 15/EC/2012). Moscow: National Research University Higher School of Economics.

41. Nelson R., Phelps E. (1966). Investment in humans, technological diffusion, and economic growth. American Economic Review, Vol. 61, No. 1/2, pp. 69-75.

42. Nunn N. (2007). Relationship-specificity, incomplete contracts and the pattern of trade. Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol. 122, No. 2, pp. 569-600.

43. OECD (2015). Students, computers and learning: Making the connection. Paris: OECD Publ.

44. Pritchett L. (2006). Does learning to add up add up? The returns to schooling in aggregate data. In: E. A. Hanushek, F. Welch (eds.). Handbook of the economics of education. Amsterdam etc.: North-Holland, pp. 635-695.

45. Pritchett L. (2013). The rebirth of education: Schooling ain’t learning. Center for Global Development.

46. Rajan R., Zingales L. (1998). Financial dependence and growth. American Economic Review, Vol. 88, No. 3, pp. 559-586.

47. Rodrik D. (2007). One economics, many recipes: globalization, institutions, and economic growth. Princeton: Princeton University Press.

48. Rodrik D. (2010). Diagnostics before Prescription. Journal of Economic Perspectives, Vol. 24, No. 3, pp. 3.

49. Sabel C., Fernandez-Arias E., Hausmann R., Rodriguez-Clare A., Stein E. (eds.). (2012). Growth pioneers in Latin America. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.

50. Schultz T. W. (1961). Investment in human capital. American Economic Review, Vol. 51, No. 1, pp. 1-17.

51. Timmer M., Erumban A., Los B., Stehrer R., de Vries G. (2014). Slicing up global value chains. Journal of Economic Perspectives, Vol. 28, No. 2, pр. 99-118.


Review

For citations:


Lyubimov I. Path from human capital to economic growth: A free highway or a complicated labyrinth? Voprosy Ekonomiki. 2017;(8):5-23. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.32609/0042-8736-2017-8-5-23

Views: 1235


ISSN 0042-8736 (Print)