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Infrastructure mortgage in Russia: Opportunities and prospects
https://doi.org/10.32609/0042-8736-2019-2-114-133
Abstract
The article shows that depending on the goals pursued by the federal government and the available interbudgetary tools a different design of infrastructure mortgage is preferable. Three variants of such mortgage in Russia are proposed, each of which is better suited for certain types of projects and uses different forms of subsidies. According to our expert assessment the active use of infrastructure mortgage in Russia can increase the average annual GDP growth rate by 0.5 p. p. on the horizon of 5—7 years. In the long run the growth of infrastructure financing through the use of infrastructure mortgage could increase long-term economic growth by 0.9 p. p., which in 20—30 years can add 20—30% of GDP to the economy. However, the change in the structure of budget expenditures in the absence of an increase in the budget deficit and public debt will cause no direct impact on monetary policy. The increase in the deficit and the build-up of public debt will have a negative effect on inflation expectations, which will require monetary tightening for a longer time to stabilize them.
Keywords
infrastructure development,
infrastructure mortgage,
productive expenditures,
public-private partnership
JEL: E60; H50; H54; H63
About the Authors
G. I. Idrisov
Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
Georgy I. Idrisov
Moscow
Y. Yu. Ponomarev
Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration; Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
Yuriy Yu. Ponomarev
Moscow
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For citations:
Idrisov G.I., Ponomarev Y.Yu. Infrastructure mortgage in Russia: Opportunities and prospects. Voprosy Ekonomiki. 2019;(2):114-133. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.32609/0042-8736-2019-2-114-133
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