Preview

Voprosy Ekonomiki

Advanced search
Open Access Open Access  Restricted Access Subscription Access

Exchange Rate Pass-through in Russia

https://doi.org/10.32609/0042-8736-2014-3-21-35

Abstract

The article provides estimates of short-run and medium-run exchange rate pass-through in Russia during the period of 2000-2012 using vector error correction model. Estimates of asymmetry of exchange rate pass-through, its assessments in different sub-periods and exchange rate volatility effect are also presented.

About the Authors

Y. Ponomarev
Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (Moscow, Russia); Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy (Moscow, Russia)
Russian Federation


P. Trunin
Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (Moscow, Russia); Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy (Moscow, Russia)
Russian Federation


A. Ulyukayev
Ministry of Economic Development of RF (Moscow, Russia)
Russian Federation


References

1. Dementiev A., Bessonov I. (2012). Construction of Core Inflation Index for Inflation Targeting in Russia. Preprint HSE.

2. Dobrynskaya V. (2007). Exchange Rate Pass-through and Monetary Policy in Russia: What Changed after 1998 Crisis? // Ekonomicheskii Zhurnal VShE. No 2. P. 213—233.

3. Drobyshevskiy S., Sinelnikov S., Trunin P. (2011). G20 Anti-crisis Economic Policy Coordination Decisions and Russia’s Experience // Ekonomicheskoe Vozrozhdenie Rossii. Vol. 18, No 5. P. 29—44.

4. Salitsky I. (2010). Exchange Rate Pass-through into Import Prices in Russian Federation // Ekonomicheskaya Politika. No 6. P. 176—195.

5. Ulyukaev A., Drobyshevsky S., Trunin P. (2008). Prospects of the Initiation of Inflation Targeting in RF // Voprosy Ekonomiki. No 1. P. 46—57.

6. Bacchetta P., Wincoop E. (2003). Why Do Consumer Prices React Less than Import Prices to Exchange Rates? // Journal of the European Economic Association. Vol. 1, No 2-3. P. 662-670.

7. Bailliu J., Fujii E. (2004). Exchange Rate Pass-through and the Inflation Environment in Industrialized Countries: An Empirical Investigation // Bank of Canada Working Paper. No 2004-21.

8. Ball L., Mankiw G. N., Romer D. (1988). The New Keynesian Economics and the Output-Inflation Trade-off // Brookings Papers on Economic Activity. No 1. P. 1-65.

9. Beirne J., Bijsterbosch M. (2011). Exchange Rate Pass-through in Central and Eastern European EU Member States // Journal of Policy Modeling. Vol. 33, No 2. P. 241-254.

10. Bitans M. (2004). Pass-through of Exchange Rates to Domestic Prices in East European Countries and the Role of Economic Environment // Bank of Latvia Working Paper. No 4/2004.

11. Calvo G. A., Reinhart C. M. (2002). Fear of Floating // The Quarterly Journal of Economics. Vol. 117, No 2. P. 379-408.

12. Ca’Zorzi M., Hahn E., Sánchez M. (2007). Exchange Rate Pass-through in Emerging Markets // ECB Working Paper. No 739.

13. Choudhri E. U., Hakura D. S. (2006). Exchange Rate Pass-through to Domestic Prices: Does the Inflationary Environment Matter? //Journal of International Money and Finance. Vol. 25, No 4. P. 614-639.

14. Cozmânca B. O., Manea F. (2010). Asymmetries in the Exchange Rate Pass-through into Romanian Price Indices // Romanian Journal of Economic Forecasting. No 1. P. 21-44.

15. Devereux M. B., Engel C., Storgaard P. E. (2004). Endogenous Exchange Rate Pass-through When Nominal Prices Are Set in Advance // Journal of International Economics. Vol. 63, No 2. P. 263-291.

16. Dobrynskaya V. V., Levando D. V. (2005). A Study of Exchange Rate Pass-through Effect in Russia // SU-HSE. International College of Economics and Finance Working Paper. No WP9/2005/02.

17. Dolado J. J., Maria-Dolores R., Naveira M. (2005). Are Monetary-Policy Reaction Functions Asymmetric? The Role of Nonlinearity in the Phillips Curve // European Economic Review. Vol. 49, No 2. P. 485-503.

18. Engel C., Rogers J. (1998). Regional Patterns in the Law of One Price: The Roles of Geography versus Currencies // The Regionalization of the World Economy. University of Chicago Press.

19. Engel C. (2002). The Responsiveness of Consumer Prices to Exchange Rates and the Implications for Exchange-Rate Policy: A Survey of a Few Recent New Open- Economy // NBER Working Paper. No w8725.

20. Flodén M., Wilander F. (2006). State Dependent Pricing, Invoicing Currency, and Exchange Rate Pass-through // Journal of International Economics. Vol. 70, No 1. P. 178-196.

21. Froot K. A., Klemperer P. D. (1989). Exchange Rate Pass-through When Market Share Matters // The American Economic Review. Vol. 79, No 4. P. 637-654.

22. Gagnon J. E., Ihrig J. (2004). Monetary Policy and Exchange Rate Pass-through // International Journal of Finance & Economics. Vol. 9, No 4. P. 315-338.

23. Goldberg P. K., Knetter M. M. (1996). Goods Prices and Exchange Rates: What Have We Learned? // NBER Working Paper. No w5862.

24. Gopinath G., Itskhoki O., Rigobon R. (2007). Currency Choice and Exchange Rate Pass-through // NBER Working Paper. No w13432.

25. Knetter M. M. (1994). Is Export Price Adjustment Asymmetric? Evaluating the Market Share and Marketing Bottlenecks Hypotheses // Journal of International Money and Finance. Vol. 13, No 1. P. 55-70.

26. Mann C. L. (1986). Prices, Profit Margins, and Exchange Rates // Federal Reserve Bulletin. Vol. 72. P. 366-379.

27. McCallum B., Nelson E. (2000). Monetary Policy for an Open Economy: An Alternative Framework with Optimizing Agents and Sticky Prices // Oxford Review of Economic Policy. Vol. 16, No 4. P. 74-91.

28. McCarthy J. (2000). Pass-through of Exchange Rates and Import Prices to Domestic Inflation in Some Industrialized Economies. FRB of New York Staff Report.

29. Obstfeld M., Rogoff K. (2000). New Directions for Stochastic Open Economy Models // Journal of International Economics. Vol. 50, No 1. P. 117-153.

30. Obstfeld M., Rogoff K. (2001). The Six Major Puzzles in International Macroeconomics: Is There a Common Cause? // NBER Macroeconomics Annual. Vol. 15. P. 339-412.

31. Obstfeld M. (2001). International Macroeconomics: Beyond the Mundell-Fleming Model // NBER Working Paper. No w8369.

32. Ohno K. (1990). Exchange Rate Fluctuations, Pass-through, and Market Share // IMF Staff Papers. Vol. 37, No 2. P. 294-310.

33. Oomes N., Ohnsorge F. (2005). Money Demand and Inflation in Dollarized Economies: The Case of Russia // Journal of Comparative Economics. Vol. 33, No 3. P. 462-483.

34. Phillips R. W. (1988). The Pass-through of Exchange Rate Changes to Prices of Imported Manufacturers // Discussion Paper No 197 / Centre for Economic Policy Research, Australian National University. Canberra.

35. Stavrev E. (2003). The Pass-through from the Nominal Exchange Rate to Inflation // Russian Federation: Selected Issues. IMF Country Report. No 03/146. P. 17-28.

36. Takhtamanova Y. F. (2010). Understanding Changes in Exchange Rate Pass-through // Journal of Macroeconomics. Vol. 32, No 4. P. 1118-1130.

37. Taylor J. B. (2000). Low Inflation, Pass-through, and the Pricing Power of Firms // European Economic Review. Vol. 44, No 7. P. 1389-1408.

38. Zivot E., Andrews D. W. K. (2002). Further Evidence on the Great Crash, the Oil-Price Shock, and the Unit-Root Hypothesis // Journal of Business & Economic Statistics. Vol. 20, No 1. P. 25-44.


Review

For citations:


Ponomarev Y., Trunin P., Ulyukayev A. Exchange Rate Pass-through in Russia. Voprosy Ekonomiki. 2014;(3):21-35. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.32609/0042-8736-2014-3-21-35

Views: 1342


ISSN 0042-8736 (Print)