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Взаимосвязь ВВП, безработицы и занятости:углубленный анализ закона Оукена для России

https://doi.org/10.32609/0042-8736-2015-3-5-27

Полный текст:

Аннотация

В работе строятся уравнения, описывающие краткосрочные и долгосрочные связи между показателями ВВП и безработицы (а также занятости). Впервые получено достоверное и устойчивое подтверждение выполнения закона Оукена для России. Показано, что реакция безработицы на спад производства значительно превосходит реакцию на такой же по силе рост ВВП. Межстрановые сравнения свидетельствуют о том, что значение коэффициента Оукена для России несколько уступает оценкам для большинства развитых стран и сопоставимо с показателями для других стран с формирующимся рынком.

Об авторах

Е. С. Вакуленко
НИУ ВШЭ (Москва)
Россия
к.  э.  н., старший научный сотрудник НИУ ВШЭ (Москва)


Е. Т. Гурвич
Экономическая экспертная группа (Москва)
Россия
к.  физ.-мат.  н., руководитель Экономической экспертной группы (Москва)


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Для цитирования:


Вакуленко Е.С., Гурвич Е.Т. Взаимосвязь ВВП, безработицы и занятости:углубленный анализ закона Оукена для России. Вопросы экономики. 2015;(3):5-27. https://doi.org/10.32609/0042-8736-2015-3-5-27

For citation:


Vakulenko E., Gurvich E. The Relationship of GDP, Unemployment Rateand Employment: In-depth Analysis of Okun’s Law for Russia. Voprosy Ekonomiki. 2015;(3):5-27. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.32609/0042-8736-2015-3-5-27

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ISSN 0042-8736 (Print)