

Financial structure: A new aspect of analysis and new results
https://doi.org/10.32609/0042-8736-2024-3-5-26
Abstract
There is growing evidence that the financial structure depends on the level of economic development of the country. In developed countries, firstly, there is a convergence of financial structures and, secondly, an increase in the share of non-bank financial intermediation sectors in national financial systems. Therefore, we propose to proceed to the analysis of the three-tier structure of the financial sector (banks — non-banking financial institutions — financial markets), for which we have developed new indicators that assess the relationship between a non-bank financial intermediation sector and financial markets. They showed that in the last 7—8 years in Russia there has also been an outstripping growth of this sector. Our regression studies, firstly, have confirmed the conclusion that in Russia the financial structure (in the traditional sense) slows down economic growth and, secondly, allowed us to assume (based on the results of a crosscountry analysis) that the current structure of the Russian financial sector (with a predominant share of banks) contributes to an increase in the volatility of economic growth. The behavior of the new financial structure ratios and regression analysis based on traditional financial structure ratios indicate the need to adjust government policy in the financial sector in order to ensure faster growth of financial markets.
Keywords
JEL: F43, G18, G20, G23, O16
About the Authors
Yu. A. DanilovRussian Federation
Yuri A. Danilov
Moscow
D. A. Pivovarov
Russian Federation
Danil A. Pivovarov
Moscow
References
1. Danilov Y. (2016a). Assessment of the place of the Russian Federation in the global financial market. Voprosy Ekonomiki, No. 11, pp. 100—116. (In Russian). https://doi.org/10.32609/0042-8736-2016-11-100-116
2. Danilov Y. A. (2016b). Experience in reforming financial markets in the countries competing with Russia in the global capital market. Moscow: Gaidar Institute Publ. (In Russian).
3. Danilov Y. (2017). Analysis of the advancing development of the financial sector in the global economy. Moscow: RA NEPA. (In Russian). https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2968423
4. Danilov Y. A. (2019). The present state of global scientific debate in the field of financial development. Voprosy Ekonomiki, No. 3, pp. 29—47. (In Russian). https://doi.org/10.32609/0042-8736-2019-3-29-47
5. Danilov Y. A. (2020a). The political system as a factor in financial development. Obshhestvennye Nauki i Sovremennost, No. 6, pp. 5—18. (In Russian). https://doi.org/10.31857/S086904990013049-5
6. Danilov Y. A. (2020b). The turn of households towards the financial market is a reaction to macroeconomic stabilization. In: Economic policy of Russia. Turbulent decade 2008—2018. Moscow: Delo, pp. 357—369. (In Russian).
7. Danilov Y. A. (2023). A set of indicators of the financial structure. Ekonomicheskoe Razvitie Rossii, Vol. 30, No. 5, pp. 63—70. (In Russian).
8. Danilov Y., Buklemishev O., Abramov A. (2017). Urgency of financial markets and non-banking financial sector reform. Voprosy Ekonomiki, No. 9, pp. 28—50. (In Russian). https://doi.org/10.32609/0042-8736-2017-9-28-50
9. Danilov Y. A., Pivovarov D. A. (2018). Financial structure in Russia: Conclusions for state policy. Voprosy Ekonomiki, No. 3, pp. 30—47. (In Russian). https://doi.org/10.32609/0042-8736-2018-3-30-47
10. Danilov Y. A., Pivovarov D. A., Davydov I. S. (2021). Approaches to the development of a comprehensive model of the relationship between the financial sector and the socioeconomic system of the Russian Federation. Moscow: RA NEPA. (In Russian). https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3860275
11. Danilov Y. A., Podlesnaya A. V. (2020). Financial structure and its impact on the stability of economic growth and investment. Ekonomicheskoe Razvitie Rossii, Vol. 27, No. 8, pp. 40—49. (In Russian).
12. Doroshenko M., Dubinin S., Loleit A. (2019). Market-oriented and bank-oriented financial systems: Post-crisis relations in Russia and in the world. Ekonomicheskaya Politika, Vol. 14, No. 5, pp. 100—123. (In Russian). https://doi.org/10.18288/1994-5124-2019-5-100-123
13. Allen F., Bartiloro L., Gu X., Kowalewski O. (2018). Does economic structure determine financial structure? Journal of International Economics, Vol. 114, pp. 389—409. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jinteco.2018.08.004
14. Allen F., Gale D. (2000). Comparing financial systems. Cambridge: MIT Press.
15. Allen F., Gu X., Kowalewski O. (2017). Financial structure, economic growth and development. IÉSEG Working Paper Series, No. 2017-ACF-04. Available at SSR N: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3035298
16. Arcand J.-L., Berkes E., Panizza U. (2015). Too much finance? Journal of Economic Growth, Vol. 20, No. 2, pp. 105—148. https://doi.org/10.10 07/s10 8 87015-9115-2
17. Beck T., Levine R. (2004). Stock markets, banks, and growth: Panel evidence. Journal of Banking & Finance, Vol. 28, No. 3, pp. 423—442. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0378-4266(02)00408-9
18. Bezooijen E. van, Bikker J. (2019). Financial structure and macroeconomic volatility: A panel data analysis. International Journal of Economics and Finance, Vol. 11, No. 12, pp. 117—135. https://doi.org/10.5539/ijef.v11n12p117
19. Bolton P., Freixas X., Gambacorta L., Mistrulli P. (2013). Relationship and transaction lending over the business cycle. BIS Working Papers, No. 417.
20. Brei M., Ferri G., Gambacorta L. (2018). Financial structure and income inequality. BIS Working Papers, No. 756.
21. Brugler J., Comerton-Forde C., Hendershott T. (2021). Does financial market structure effect the cost of raising capital? Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Vol. 56, No. 5, pp. 1771—1808. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0022109020000381
22. Caballero R., Hoshi T., Kashyap A. (2008). Zombie lending and depressed restructuring in Japan. American Economic Review, Vol. 98, No. 5, pp. 1943—1977. https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.98.5.1943
23. Cournède B., Denk O. (2015). Finance and economic growth in OECD and G20 countries. OECD Economics Department Working Papers, No. 1223. Paris: OECD Publishing. https://doi.org/10.1787/5js04v8z0m38-en
24. Cull R., Demirgüç-Kunt A., Lin J. Y. (2013). Financial structure and economic development: A reassessment. World Bank Economic Review, Vol. 27, No. 3, pp. 470—475. https://doi.org/10.1093/wber/lht006
25. Demirgüç-Kunt A., Feyen E., Levine R. (2011). The evolving importance of banks and securities markets. World Bank Policy Research Working Paper, No. WPS5805. https://doi.org/10.1596/1813-9450-5805
26. Demirgüç-Kunt A., Huizinga H. (2000). Financial structure and bank profitability. World Bank Policy Research Working Paper, No. 2430. https://doi.org/10.1596/1813-9450-2430
27. Demirgüç-Kunt A., Levine R. (eds.) (2001a). Financial structure and economic growth: A cross-country comparison of banks, markets, and development. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press. https://doi.org/10.7551/mitpress/3001.001.0001
28. Demirgüç-Kunt A., Levine R. (20 01b). Financial structure and economic growth: Perspectives and lessons. In: A. Demirgüç-Kunt, R. Levine (eds.). Financial structure and economic growth: A cross-country comparison of banks, markets, and development. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press, pp. 3—14. https://doi.org/10.7551/mitpress/3001.003.0003
29. Diebold F. X., Yilmaz K. (2008). Macroeconomic volatility and stock market volatility, worldwide. NBER Working Paper, No. 14269. https://doi.org/10.33 8 6/w14269
30. Fohlin C. (2012). Mobilizing money: How the world’s richest nations financed industrial growth. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9781139045827
31. FSB (2022). Global monitoring report on non-bank financial intermediation 2022. Basel: Financial Stability Board.
32. Gambacorta L., Yang J., Tsatsaronis K. (2014). Financial structure and growth. BIS Quarterly Review, March, pp. 21—35.
33. Goldsmith R. (1955). Financial structure and economic growth in advanced countries: An experiment in comparative financial morphology. In: Capital formation and economic growth. Princeton University Press, pp. 112—167.
34. Gong Q., Lin J. Y., Zhang Y. (2019). Financial structure, industrial structure, and economic development: A new structural economics perspective. The Manchester School, Vol. 87. No. 2, pp. 183—204. https://doi.org/10.1111/manc.12240
35. Kalu K., Wang H. (2019). Financial market structure and finance-growth relationships in the BRICS. International Journal of Business and Economics, Vol. 4, No. 1, pp. 58—70. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.2590693
36. Kwok C., Tadesse S. (2006). National culture and financial system. Journal of International Business Studies, Vol. 37, No. 2, pp. 227—247. https://doi.org/10.1057/palgrave.jibs.8400188
37. Langfield S., Pagano M. (2016). Bank bias in Europe: Effects on systemic risk and growth. Economic Policy, Vol. 31, No. 85, pp. 51—106. https://doi.org/10.1093/epolic/eiv019
38. Levine R. (2002). Bank-based or market-based financial systems: Which is better? Journal of Financial Intermediation, Vol. 11, No. 4, pp. 398—428. https://doi.org/10.1006/jfin.2002.0341
39. Levine R., Zervos S. (1998). Stock markets, banks, and economic growth. American Economic Review, Vol. 88, No. 3, pp. 537—558.
40. Lin J. Y., Sun X., Jiang Y. (2009). Toward a theory of optimal financial structure. World Bank Policy Research Working Paper, No. 5038. https://doi.org/10.1596/1813-9450-5038
41. Mare D., de Nicola F., Miguel F. (2021). Financial structure and firm innovation. Evidence from around the world. World Bank Policy Research Working Paper, No. 9670. https://doi.org/10.1596/1813-9450-9670
42. Pagano M., Langfield S., Acharya V., Boot A., Brunnermeier M., Buch C., Hellwig M., Sapir A., van den Burg I. (2014). Is Europe overbanked? ESRB: Advisory Scientific Committee Reports, No. 2014/4. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3723325
43. Rajan R., Zingales L. (2003). The great reversals: The politics of financial development in the twentieth century. Journal of Financial Economics, Vol. 69, No. 1, pp. 5—50. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0304-405X(03)00125-9
44. Razo-De-Anda J. O., Cruz-Aké S., Venegas-Martínez F. (2022). Can the stock market boost economic growth? Evidence from the Mexican real estate investment trust (REIT). Panorama Económico, Vol. 17, No. 36, pp. 9—32. https://doi.org/10.29201/peipn.v17i36.108
45. Rousseau P., Wachtel P. (2011). What is happening to the impact of financial deepening on economic growth? Economic Inquiry, Vol. 49, No. 1, pp. 276—288. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1465-7295.2009.00197.x
46. Sever C. (2022). Financial structure convergence. International Finance, Vol. 25, No. 1, pp. 65—83. https://doi.org/10.32609/10.1111/infi.12403
47. Song F., Thakor A. (2013). Notes on financial system development and political intervention. World Bank Economic Review, Vol. 27, No. 3, pp. 491—513. https://doi.org/10.1596/1813-9450-6350
48. Vardar G., Coşkun Y. (2016). Exploring the finance-growth volatility nexus: Evidence from developed, developing and transition countries. International Journal of Economic Perspectives, Vol. 10, No. 1, pp. 86—115.
49. WEF (2016). The global competitiveness report 2016—2017. Geneva: World Economic Forum.
Supplementary files
Review
For citations:
Danilov Yu.A., Pivovarov D.A. Financial structure: A new aspect of analysis and new results. Voprosy Ekonomiki. 2024;(3):5-26. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.32609/0042-8736-2024-3-5-26