

Analysis of approaches to assessing changes in welfare and real GDP growth during digitalization of the economy
https://doi.org/10.32609/0042-8736-2022-1-126-146
Abstract
The paper attempts to estimate, in monetary terms, the volume of free digital services in GDP while assessing the contribution of digitalization to changes in welfare and economic growth. Approaches to such an estimation are analyzed and criticized. In particular, the calculation of the added value created in the digital sector does not properly reflect the economic effect of digitalization. Alternative auxiliary methods for estimating the contribution of digitalization to GDP growth are considered: the creation of satellite accounts of the digital economy within the SNA; the categorization and calculation of “purely” digital goods. The paper analyzes the methodology of calculating GDP which takes into account consumer surpluses from the use of free digital goods. The advantages of this methodology are outlined, including the consideration of a significant part of the digital sector of the economy in the calculation of GDP, as well as the relative ease of its use. This methodology was tested by drawing on the example of the Republic of Bashkortostan.
About the Author
S. G. MarichevRussian Federation
Sergey G. Marichev
Ufa
References
1. Abdrakhmanova G. I., Vishnevsky K. O., Gokhberg L. M. et al. (2019). What is the digital economy? Trends, competencies, measurement. Report to the XX April International Academic Conference on Economic and Social Development. Moscow: HSE Publ. (In Russian).
2. Analytical Center for the Government of the Russian Federation (2019). Sharing economy as a new economic model. Bulletin on Current Trends in the World Economy, Iss. 47. (In Russian).
3. Babaev B. D., Dubrovsky S. P. (2015). Economic growth: An expanded interpretation. The quality of economic growth. Economics of Education, No. 1, pp. 33—38. (In Russian).
4. Balashova S. A., Nakhatakyan E. O. (2017). Systematization of the approaches assessing socio-economic development of the countries by using welfare index. RUDN Journal of Economics, Vol. 25, No. 2, pp. 219—232. (In Russian). https://doi.org/10.22363/2313-2329-2017-25-2-219-232
5. Baudrillard J. (2006). Consumer society. Its myths and structures. Moscow: Kulturnaya revolyutsiya; Respublika. (In Russian).
6. Vishnevsky V. (2019). The digital economy in the context of the Fourth Industrial Revolution: Opportunities and limitations. St Petersburg University Journal of Economic Studies, Vol. 35, No. 4, рр. 606—627. (In Russian). https://doi.org/10.21638/spbu05.2019.406
7. Gurova T., Polunin Y. (2017). The onset of “blue collars”. Expert, No. 3, pp. 13—17. (In Russian).
8. Zhang L., Chen S. (2019) China’s digital economy: Opportunities and risks. International Organisations Research Journal, Vol. 14, No. 2, pp. 275—303. (In Russian). https://doi.org/10.17323/1996-7845-2019-02-11
9. UN (2009). International standard industrial classification of all economic activities. Revision 4. New York: United Nations.
10. Polozhikhina M. (2018). National models of the digital economy. In: Economic and social problems of Russia: Collective works, No. 1, pp. 111—154. (In Russian).
11. Tatarinov A. A. (2019). Measuring the digital economy in national accounts. Voprosy Statistiki, Vol. 26, No. 2, pp. 5—17. (In Russian). https://doi.org/10.34023/2313-6383-2019-26-2-5-17
12. UNCTAD (2019). Digital economy report 2019: Value creation and capture: Implications for developing countries. New York: United Nations Conference on Trade and Development.
13. Yandex.Market, GFK (2019). E-commerce market trends. (In Russian). https://yastat.net/s3/milab/2019/gfk/market_gfk_2019.pdf
14. Accenture (2016). Platform economy: Technology-driven business model innovation from the outside in. Accenture Technology R&D.
15. Ahmad N., Ribarsky J., Reinsdorf M. (2017). Can potential mismeasurement of the digital economy explain the post-crisis slowdown in GDP and productivity growth? OECD Statistics Working Papers, No. 2017/09. https://doi.org/10.1787/a8e751b7-en
16. Arntz M., Gregory T., Zierahn U. (2016). The risk of automation for jobs in OECD countries: A comparative analysis. OECD Social, Employment and Migration Working Papers, No. 189. https://doi.org/10.1787/5jlz9h56dvq7-en
17. Barefoot K., Curtis D., Jolliff D., Nicholson J. R., Omohundro R. (2018). Defining and measuring the digital economy. Bureau of Economic Analysis Working Papers, No. 3/15/2018.
18. Brynjolfsson E., Collis A., Diewert W., Eggers F., Fox K. (2019a). GDP-B: Accounting for the value of new and free goods in the digital economy. NBER Working Papers, No. 25695. https://doi.org/10.3386/w25695
19. Brynjolfsson E., Collis A., Eggers F. (2019b). Using massive online choice experiments to measure changes in well-being. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Vol. 116, No. 15, pp. 7250—7255. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1815663116
20. Brynjolfsson E., McAfee A. (2011). Race against the machine — how the digital revolution is accelerating innovation, driving productivity, and irreversibly transforming employment and the economy. Lexington, MA: Digital Frontier Press.
21. Bukht R., Heeks R. (2018). Defining, conceptualising and measuring the digital economy. International Organisations Research Journal, Vol. 13, No. 2, pp. 143—172. https://doi.org/10.17323/1996-7845-2018-02-07
22. File T., Ryan C. (2014). Computer and internet use in the United States: 2013. U.S. Census Bureau.
23. Ford M. (2015). Rise of the robots: Technology and the threat of a jobless future. New York: Basic Books.
24. Gal M. S., Rubinfeld D. L. (2015). The hidden costs of free goods: Implications for antitrust enforcement. NYU Law and Economics Research Paper, No. 14-44. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2529425
25. Gordon R. J. (2016). The rise and fall of American growth: The U.S. standard of living since the Civil War. Princeton: Princeton University Press.
26. Nakamura L., Samuels J., Soloveichik R. (2017). Measuring the “free” digital economy within the GDP and productivity accounts. Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia Working Papers, No. 17-37. https://doi.org/10.21799/frbp.wp.2017.37
27. Nielsen (2018). Connected commerce: Connectivity is enabling lifestyle evolution. New York: Nielsen Company US.
28. OECD (2017). OECD digital economy outlook 2017. Paris: OECD Publishing. https://doi.org/10.1787/9789264276284-en
29. Summers L. (2016). The age of secular stagnation: What it is and what to do about it. Foreign Affairs, March/April, pp. 2—9.
Supplementary files
Review
For citations:
Marichev S.G. Analysis of approaches to assessing changes in welfare and real GDP growth during digitalization of the economy. Voprosy Ekonomiki. 2022;(1):126-146. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.32609/0042-8736-2022-1-126-146