Preview

Voprosy Ekonomiki

Advanced search
Open Access Open Access  Restricted Access Subscription Access

How does inflation influence income inequality in Russia?

https://doi.org/10.32609/0042-8736-2020-4-54-66

Abstract

The paper studies the impact of inflation on income inequality in Russian regions. It was revealed that the reduction in inflation from double-digit rate to the Bank of Russia’s target did not help to mitigate inequality, but rather exacerbated it. We identified a group of products which changing price dynamics affects inequality. The price increase may lead to the decline in inequality through redistributive effect. It is shown that in Russia this effect is associated with the channel of unexpected inflation that results in real wealth transfer from more prosperous lenders to less well-off borrowers. The policy of inflation targeting, successfully implemented by the monetary authorities in recent years, has reduced the volatility of inflation and limited the operation of this channel. At the same time, quantitative estimates of the increase in inequality as a result of achieving price stability remain relatively low.

About the Authors

Philipp S. Kartaev
Lomonosov Moscow State University; MGIMO University
Russian Federation
Moscow


Olga A. Klachkova
Lomonosov Moscow State University
Russian Federation
Moscow


Anna S. Lukianova
Lomonosov Moscow State University
Russian Federation
Moscow


References

1. Kartaev Ph. (2017). Is inflation targeting useful for economic growth? Voprosy Ekonomiki, No. 2, pp. 62—74. (In Russian). https://doi.org/10.32609/0042-8736-2017-2-62-74

2. Kartaev Ph. S., Klachkova O. A. (2017). Econometric modeling of the impact of inflation on the dynamics of investment. Dengi i Kredit, No. 9, pp. 55—57. (In Russian).

3. Albanesi S. (2007). Inflation and inequality. Journal of Monetary Economics, Vol. 54, No. 4, pp. 1088—1114. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jmoneco.2006.02.009

4. Arellano M. (1987). Computing robust standard errors for within-groups estimators. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 49, No. 4, pp. 431—434. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-0084.1987.mp49004006.x

5. Blank R. M., Blinder A. S. (1985). Macroeconomics, income distribution, and poverty. NBER Working Paper, No. w1567. https://doi.org/10.3386/w1567

6. Blinder A. S., Esaki H. Y. (1978). Macroeconomic activity and income distribution in the postwar United States. Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 55, pp. 604—609. https://doi.org/10.2307/1924254

7. Bulíř A. (2001). Income inequality: Does inflation matter? IMF Staff Papers, Vol. 48, No. 1, pp. 139—159.

8. Cutler D. M., Katz L. F. (1992). Rising inequality? Changes in the distribution of income and consumption in the 1980’s. American Economic Review, Vol. 82, No. 2, pp. 546—551. https://doi.org/10.3386/w3964

9. Dolmas J., Huffman G. W., Wynne M. A. (2000). Inequality, inflation, and central bank independence. Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d’économique, Vol. 33, No. 1, pp. 271—287. https://doi.org/10.1111/0008-4085.00015

10. Dornbusch R., Edwards S. (1990). Macroeconomic populism. Journal of Development Economics, Vol. 32, No. 2, pp. 247—277. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-3878(90)90038-D

11. Erosa A., Ventura G. (2002). On inflation as a regressive consumption tax. Journal of Monetary Economics, Vol. 49, No. 4, pp. 761—795. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0304-3932(02)00115-0

12. Galli R., van der Hoeven R. (2001). Is inflation bad for income inequality: The importance of the initial rate of inflation. ILO Employment Paper, No. 2001/29.

13. Hansen B. E. (2000). Sample splitting and threshold estimation. Econometrica, Vol. 68, No. 3, pp. 575—603. https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-0262.00124

14. Kremer S., Bick A., Nautz D. (2013). Inflation and growth: New evidence from a dynamic panel threshold analysis. Empirical Economics, Vol. 44, No. 2, pp. 861—878. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00181-012-0553-9

15. Kuznets S. (1955). Economic growth and income inequality. American Economic Review, Vol. 45, No. 1, pp. 1—28.

16. Metcalf C. E. (1969). The size distribution of personal income during the business cycle. American Economic Review, Vol. 44, No. 7, pp. 657—668.

17. Mollick A., Cabral R., Carneiro F. (2011). Does inflation targeting matter for out-put growth? Evidence from industrial and emerging economies. Journal of Policy Modeling, Vol. 33, No. 4, pp. 537—551. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpolmod.2011.03.010

18. Monnin P. (2014). Inflation and income inequality in developed economies. CEP Working Paper, No. 1401. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2444710

19. Romer C. D., Romer D. H. (1999). Monetary policy and the well-being of the poor. Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, Vol. 84, No. Q1, pp. 21—49.

20. Sarel M. M. (1997). How macroeconomic factors affect income distribution: The cross-country evidence. IMF Working Paper, No. 97—152. https://doi.org/10.5089/9781451922714.001

21. Schultz T. P. (1969). Secular trends and cyclical behavior of income distribution in the United States: 1944—1965. In: L. Soltow (ed.). Six papers on the size distribution of wealth and income. National Bureau of Economic Research, pp. 75—106.

22. Thurow L. C. (1970). Analyzing the American income distribution. American Economic Review, Vol. 60, No. 2, pp. 261—269.

23. Walsh M. J. P., Yu J. (2012). Inflation and income inequality: Is food inflation different? IMF Working Paper, No. 12—147. https://doi.org/10.5089/9781475504163.001

24. Zubarevich N. V. (2019). Poverty in Russian regions in 2000—2017: Factors and dynamics . Population and Economics, Vol. 3, No. 1, pp. 63—74. https://doi.org/10.3897/popecon.3.e35376


Review

For citations:


Kartaev P.S., Klachkova O.A., Lukianova A.S. How does inflation influence income inequality in Russia? Voprosy Ekonomiki. 2020;(4):54-66. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.32609/0042-8736-2020-4-54-66

Views: 3267


ISSN 0042-8736 (Print)