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<article article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.3" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xml:lang="ru"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">voprecotest</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="ru">Вопросы экономики</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Voprosy Ekonomiki</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="ppub">0042-8736</issn><publisher><publisher-name>Voprosy Ekonomiki, NP</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.32609/0042-8736-2009-2-90-104</article-id><article-id custom-type="elpub" pub-id-type="custom">voprecotest-840</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>ЭНЕРГОРЕСУРС ЭКОНОМИЧЕСКОГО РАЗВИТИЯ</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="en"><subject>ENERGY RESOURCE OF ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>Какие факторы воздействуют на динамику нефтяного рынка?</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>What Factors Influence the Oil Market Dynamics?</trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Подколзина</surname><given-names>И.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Podkolzina</surname><given-names>I.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>кандидат экономических наук, старший научный сотрудник</p></bio><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff-alternatives id="aff-1"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>ИМЭМО РАН</institution><country>Россия</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>Institute of World Economy and International Relations, Russian Academy of Sciences (IMEMO)</institution><country>Russian Federation</country></aff></aff-alternatives><pub-date pub-type="collection"><year>2009</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>20</day><month>02</month><year>2009</year></pub-date><volume>0</volume><issue>2</issue><fpage>90</fpage><lpage>104</lpage><permissions><copyright-statement>Copyright &amp;#x00A9; Voprosy Ekonomiki, NP, 2009</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2009</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Voprosy Ekonomiki, NP</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Voprosy Ekonomiki, NP</copyright-holder><license xlink:href="https://www.vopreco.ru/jour/about/submissions#copyrightNotice" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>https://www.vopreco.ru/jour/about/submissions#copyrightNotice</license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://www.vopreco.ru/jour/article/view/840">https://www.vopreco.ru/jour/article/view/840</self-uri><abstract><p>В статье рассматриваются основные тенденции, сложившиеся на мировом рынке нефти в последние годы, и анализируются факторы, обусловливающие динамику цен на энергоносители. Выявление спекулятивного характера взрывного роста стоимости нефти в 2007 — первой половине 2008 г. приводит к выводу о том, что последовавшее затем стремительное падение цен не является временной передышкой в ходе многолетнего подъема, а указывает на схлопывание пузыря и формирование нового ценового диапазона, который может существовать в течение продолжительного периода времени. Основным принципом формирования цен на нефть становится их способность поддерживать стабильное развитие мировой экономики.</p></abstract><trans-abstract xml:lang="en"><p>The paper reviews the main tendencies of the oil market over the last several years. Given that the explosive growth in crude oil prices during 2007 — the first half of 2008 was caused by speculations the current drop is not a temporary relief in the course of commodities super-cycle and the boom has come to an end. Crude oil prices’ ability to provide the sustainable development of the world economy seems to become the main principle of price formation during the foreseeable future.</p></trans-abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="ru"><kwd>мировая экономика</kwd><kwd>товарные рынки</kwd><kwd>цены на нефть</kwd></kwd-group><kwd-group xml:lang="en"><kwd>world economy</kwd><kwd>commodities</kwd><kwd>oil market</kwd><kwd>crude oil prices</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><back><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="cit1"><label>1</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Base Metals: Putting the Super Cycle Theory to the Test // Brady Bulletin. 2006. Issue 8. Oct..</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Base Metals: Putting the Super Cycle Theory to the Test // Brady Bulletin. 2006. Issue 8. 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