voprecotestВопросы экономикиVoprosy Ekonomiki0042-8736Voprosy Ekonomiki, NP10.32609/0042-8736-2009-1-84-100voprecotest-828Research ArticleВОПРОСЫ ТЕОРИИISSUES OF THEORYРеволюционное значение теории сложности и будущее экономической наукиThe Complexity Revolution and the Future of EconomicsКоландерД.ColanderD.

Профессор

Миддлбери-колледжСоединённые Штаты АмерикиMiddlebury CollegeUnited States2009200120090184100Copyright © Voprosy Ekonomiki, NP, 20092009Voprosy Ekonomiki, NPVoprosy Ekonomiki, NPhttps://www.vopreco.ru/jour/about/submissions#copyrightNoticehttps://www.vopreco.ru/jour/article/view/828

В статье представлен анализ изменений в теоретических и прикладных областях современной экономической науки, связанных с возникновением новых теоретических подходов, в частности, теории сложности и поведенческой экономики. Автор показывает, что в будущем экономисты отойдут от базовых предпосылок неоклассики и освоят многочисленные междисциплинарные подходы для изучения конкретных экономических вопросов. Эти постепенные трансформации должны серьезно поменять структуру экономического знания — формальное моделирование должно отойти на второй план, уступив место более прикладным областям науки.

The paper considers the change in theoretical and empirical research in modern economics. This change is driven by the emergence of new theoretical approaches associated with the complexity theory and behavioral economics. The author shows that in future economists will reject some basic assumptions of neoclassical economics and adopt many different interdisciplinary approaches in order to study concrete economic problems. These gradual transformations should considerably change the structure of economic knowledge. Formal modeling will be of minor importance and will give place to more applied fields of research.

история экономической мыслиэкономическая методологиятеория сложностимейнстримэкономическая политикаhistory of economic thoughteconomic methodologycomplexity theorymainstream economicseconomic policyReferencesAuyang S. Foundations of Complex-System Theories in Economics, Evolutionary Biology, and Statistical Physics. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1998.Auyang S. Foundations of Complex-System Theories in Economics, Evolutionary Biology, and Statistical Physics. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1998.Axtell R., Epstein J. Growing Artificial Societies from the Bottom Up. Cambridge, MA: MIT and Brookings, 1996; Axelrod R. The Complexity of Cooperation. Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1997.Axtell R., Epstein J. Growing Artificial Societies from the Bottom Up. Cambridge, MA: MIT and Brookings, 1996; Axelrod R. The Complexity of Cooperation. Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1997.Benjamin D., Laibson D. Good Policies for Bad Governments:Behavioral Political Economy/Boston Fed Conference on Behavioral Economics. June 2003. http://www.bos.frb.org/economic/conf/conf48/papers/benjamin_laibson.pdf.Benjamin D., Laibson D. Good Policies for Bad Governments:Behavioral Political Economy/Boston Fed Conference on Behavioral Economics. June 2003. http://www.bos.frb.org/economic/conf/conf48/papers/benjamin_laibson.pdf.Brock W., Colander D. Complexity and Policy // The Complexity Vision and the Teaching of Economics.Brock W., Colander D. Complexity and Policy // The Complexity Vision and the Teaching of Economics.Colander D. The Complexity Revolution and the Future of Economics // Middlebury College Working Paper Series 0319/Middlebury College, Department of Economics. 2003Colander D. The Complexity Revolution and the Future of Economics // Middlebury College Working Paper Series 0319/Middlebury College, Department of Economics. 2003Colander D. New Millennium Economics: How Did it Get This Way, and What Way is It? // Journal of Economic Perspectives. 1999. Vol. 14, No 1.Colander D. New Millennium Economics: How Did it Get This Way, and What Way is It? // Journal of Economic Perspectives. 1999. Vol. 14, No 1.Colander D. Muddling Through and Policy Analysis. Keynote Address at the New Zealand Economic Association. July 2003.Colander D. Muddling Through and Policy Analysis. Keynote Address at the New Zealand Economic Association. July 2003.Colander D. The Death of Neoclassical Economics // Journal of the History of Economic Thought. 2000. Vol. 22, No 2. P. 127-143.Colander D. The Death of Neoclassical Economics // Journal of the History of Economic Thought. 2000. Vol. 22, No 2. P. 127-143.Colander D. The sounds of silence: the profession's response to the COGEE report // American Journal of Agricultural Economics. 1998. Vol. 80, No 3. Р. 600-607.Colander D. The sounds of silence: the profession's response to the COGEE report // American Journal of Agricultural Economics. 1998. Vol. 80, No 3. Р. 600-607.Colander D. Why Aren't Economists as Important as Garbagemen? Armonk, NY: Sharpe, 1991.Colander D. Why Aren't Economists as Important as Garbagemen? Armonk, NY: Sharpe, 1991.Colander D., Holt R., Rosser J. B. The Changing Face of Economics. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press, 2004.Colander D., Holt R., Rosser J. B. The Changing Face of Economics. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press, 2004.Complexity and the History of Economic Thought / D. Colander (ed). N. Y.: Routledge. 2000.Complexity and the History of Economic Thought / D. Colander (ed). N. Y.: Routledge. 2000.Computational Finance / B. LeBaron, Y. Abu-Mostafa, A. Lo, A. Weigend (eds.). Cambridge, MA: MIT Press, 1999.Computational Finance / B. LeBaron, Y. Abu-Mostafa, A. Lo, A. Weigend (eds.). Cambridge, MA: MIT Press, 1999.Cooter R., Rappoport P. Were the Ordinalists Wrong about Welfare Economics // Journal of Economic Literature. 1984. Vol. 22, No 2. Р. 507-530.Cooter R., Rappoport P. Were the Ordinalists Wrong about Welfare Economics // Journal of Economic Literature. 1984. Vol. 22, No 2. Р. 507-530.Educating Economists / D. Colander, R. Brenner (eds.). Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press, 1992.Educating Economists / D. Colander, R. Brenner (eds.). Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press, 1992.Frank R. Luxury Fever: Why Money Fails to Satisfy in an Era of Excess. N. Y.: The Free Press, 1999.Frank R. Luxury Fever: Why Money Fails to Satisfy in an Era of Excess. N. Y.: The Free Press, 1999.Klamer A., Colander D. The Making of an Economist. Boulder, CO: Westview Press, 1990.Klamer A., Colander D. The Making of an Economist. Boulder, CO: Westview Press, 1990.Schelling T. Foreword // Collective Choice: Essays in Honor of Mancur Olson/J. Heckelman, D. Coates (eds.). Berlin: Springer, 2003.Schelling T. Foreword // Collective Choice: Essays in Honor of Mancur Olson/J. Heckelman, D. Coates (eds.). Berlin: Springer, 2003.Solow R. How Did Economics Get That Way and What Way Is It? // Daedalus. 1997.Vol. 126, No 1. P. 39-58.Solow R. How Did Economics Get That Way and What Way Is It? // Daedalus. 1997.Vol. 126, No 1. P. 39-58.Sunstein C., Thaler R. Libertarian Paternalism Is Not An Oxymoron // University of Chicago Law Review [forthcoming] (http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=405940).Sunstein C., Thaler R. Libertarian Paternalism Is Not An Oxymoron // University of Chicago Law Review [forthcoming] (http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=405940).The Complexity Vision and the Teaching of Economics / D. Colander (ed). Cheltenham: Edward Elgar, 2000.The Complexity Vision and the Teaching of Economics / D. Colander (ed). Cheltenham: Edward Elgar, 2000.The Economy as an Evolving Complex System / P. Anderson, K. Arrow, D. Pines (eds.). Redwood City, CA: Addison-Wesley, 1988.The Economy as an Evolving Complex System / P. Anderson, K. Arrow, D. Pines (eds.). Redwood City, CA: Addison-Wesley, 1988.The Economy as an Evolving Complex System II / W. B. Arthur, S. N. Durlauf, D. A. Lane (eds.). Reading, MA: Addison-Wesley, 1997.The Economy as an Evolving Complex System II / W. B. Arthur, S. N. Durlauf, D. A. Lane (eds.). Reading, MA: Addison-Wesley, 1997.Tirole J. The Theory of Corporate Finance. Princeton: Princeton University Press, 2006.Tirole J. The Theory of Corporate Finance. Princeton: Princeton University Press, 2006.Waldrop M. Complexity: The Emerging Science at the Edge of Order and Chaos. N. Y.: Simon & Schuster, 1992.Waldrop M. Complexity: The Emerging Science at the Edge of Order and Chaos. N. Y.: Simon & Schuster, 1992.Weintraub R. How Economics Became a Mathematical Science. Durham, NC: Duke University Press, 2002.Weintraub R. How Economics Became a Mathematical Science. Durham, NC: Duke University Press, 2002.

The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.