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<article article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.3" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xml:lang="ru"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">voprecotest</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="ru">Вопросы экономики</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Voprosy Ekonomiki</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="ppub">0042-8736</issn><publisher><publisher-name>Voprosy Ekonomiki, NP</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.32609/0042-8736-2012-8-4-31</article-id><article-id custom-type="elpub" pub-id-type="custom">voprecotest-736</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>РЕГУЛИРОВАНИЕ БАНКОВСКОГО СЕКТОРА</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>Оценка системных эффектов от ужесточения пруденциального регулирования банковского сектора: результаты стресс-теста</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>The Systemic Effects of Prudential Regulation Toughening:The Results of a Stress-test for Russian Banks</trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Мамонов</surname><given-names>М. Е.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Mamonov</surname><given-names>M.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>эксперт Центра макроэкономического анализа и краткосрочного прогнозирования (ЦМАКП) (Москва)</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">OSolntsev@forecast.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Пестова</surname><given-names>А. А.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Pestova</surname><given-names>A.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>эксперт ЦМАКП</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">APestova@forecast.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-2"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Солнцев</surname><given-names>О. Г.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Solntsev</surname><given-names>O.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>к. э. н., руководитель направления анализа проблем денежно-кредитной политики и банковской системы ЦМАКП</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">OSolntsev@forecast.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-2"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff-alternatives id="aff-1"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>Центр макроэкономического анализа и краткосрочного прогнозирования (ЦМАКП) (Москва)</institution><country>Россия</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>Center for Macroeconomic Analysis and Short-Term Forecasting (CMASF) (Moscow, Russia)</institution><country>Russian Federation</country></aff></aff-alternatives><aff-alternatives id="aff-2"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>ЦМАКП</institution><country>Россия</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>Center for Macroeconomic Analysis and Short-Term Forecasting (CMASF) (Moscow, Russia)</institution><country>Russian Federation</country></aff></aff-alternatives><pub-date pub-type="collection"><year>2012</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>20</day><month>08</month><year>2012</year></pub-date><volume>0</volume><issue>8</issue><fpage>4</fpage><lpage>31</lpage><permissions><copyright-statement>Copyright &amp;#x00A9; Voprosy Ekonomiki, NP, 2012</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2012</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Voprosy Ekonomiki, NP</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Voprosy Ekonomiki, NP</copyright-holder><license xlink:href="https://www.vopreco.ru/jour/about/submissions#copyrightNotice" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>https://www.vopreco.ru/jour/about/submissions#copyrightNotice</license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://www.vopreco.ru/jour/article/view/736">https://www.vopreco.ru/jour/article/view/736</self-uri><abstract><p>В статье анализируются меры Банка России, принятые в ответ на возникновение проблемной ситуации, характеризующейся тремя «точками напряженности»: признаками нового кредитного «перегрева», существенным снижением достаточности капитала банков и обострением проблемы аффилированных банков. С помощью методологии стресс-тестирования сделан вывод об их недостаточности и низкой эффективности. Сформулированы предложения по гармонизации пруденциального регулирования. При этом акцент сделан на разработке и внедрении программ развития новых рынков финансовых услуг, оказываемых банками. Это будет способствовать росту прибыльности банковского сектора без принятия дополнительных кредитных или рыночных рисков, что позволит повысить капитализацию сектора и исключить потребность банков в государственной поддержке их капиталов.</p></abstract><trans-abstract xml:lang="en"><p>The stability of Russian banking sector is threatened by three negative tendencies - overheating of the credit market, significant decrease of banks capital adequacy ratios, and growing problems associated with banks lending to affiliated non-financial corporations. The co-existence of these processes reflects the crisis of the model of private investments in Russian banking sector, which was observed during the last 20 years. This paper analyzes the measures of the Bank of Russia undertaken to maintain the stability of the banking sector using the methodology of credit risk stress-testing. Based on this methodology we conclude that the Bank of Russias actions can prevent the overheating of the credit market, but they can also lead to undesirable effects: further expansion of the government ownership in Russian banking sector and substitution of domestic credit supply by cross-border corporate borrowings. The later weakens the competitive positions of Russian banks. We propose a set of measures to harmonize the prudential regulation of banks. Our suggestions rely on design and further implementation of the programs aimed at developing new markets for financial services provided by Russian banks to their corporate and retail customers. The estimated effects of proposed policy measures are both the increase in profitability and capitalization of Russian banks and the decrease of banks demand for government support.</p></trans-abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="ru"><kwd>банки</kwd><kwd>пруденциальное регулирование</kwd><kwd>Банк России</kwd><kwd>стресс-тестирование</kwd><kwd>достаточность капитала</kwd><kwd>кредитный «перегрев»</kwd><kwd>аффилированные финансовые институты</kwd></kwd-group><kwd-group xml:lang="en"><kwd>banks</kwd><kwd>prudential regulation</kwd><kwd>Bank of Russia</kwd><kwd>stress-testing</kwd><kwd>capital adequacy</kwd><kwd>credit overheating</kwd><kwd>affiliated financial institutions</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><back><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="cit1"><label>1</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Мамонов М., Пестова А., Магомедова З., Солнцев О. (2011). 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