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<article article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.3" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xml:lang="ru"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">voprecotest</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="ru">Вопросы экономики</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Voprosy Ekonomiki</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="ppub">0042-8736</issn><publisher><publisher-name>Voprosy Ekonomiki, NP</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.32609/0042-8736-2014-11-122-139</article-id><article-id custom-type="elpub" pub-id-type="custom">voprecotest-724</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>ДЕНЕЖНО-КРЕДИТНАЯ ПОЛИТИКА</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="en"><subject>MONETARY POLICY</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>Влияние внешних шоков и денежно-кредитной политики на экономику России</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Impact Of External Shocks And Monetary Policy On Russian Economy</trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Ломиворотов</surname><given-names>Р. В.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Lomivorotov</surname><given-names>R.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>аспирант кафедры макроэкономического анализа НИУ ВШЭ (Москва)</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">l.rodion@gmail.com</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff-alternatives id="aff-1"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>НИУ ВШЭ (Москва)</institution><country>Россия</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>National Research University Higher School of Economics (Moscow, Russia)</institution><country>Russian Federation</country></aff></aff-alternatives><pub-date pub-type="collection"><year>2014</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>20</day><month>11</month><year>2014</year></pub-date><volume>0</volume><issue>11</issue><fpage>122</fpage><lpage>139</lpage><permissions><copyright-statement>Copyright &amp;#x00A9; Voprosy Ekonomiki, NP, 2014</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2014</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Voprosy Ekonomiki, NP</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Voprosy Ekonomiki, NP</copyright-holder><license xlink:href="https://www.vopreco.ru/jour/about/submissions#copyrightNotice" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>https://www.vopreco.ru/jour/about/submissions#copyrightNotice</license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://www.vopreco.ru/jour/article/view/724">https://www.vopreco.ru/jour/article/view/724</self-uri><abstract><p>В статье рассмотрено влияние внешних и внутренних шоков на экономику России. В качестве основных внешних шоков выбраны изменение монетарной политики в США, динамика цен на сырьевые товары, а также уровень волатильности на международных финансовых рынках. Изучается влияние монетарной политики ЦБ РФ на экономическую активность в стране, уровень инфляции и динамику обменного курса.</p></abstract><trans-abstract xml:lang="en"><p>This paper investigates the impact of external and internal shocks on the Russian economy. We have factored in the U.S. monetary policy changes, dynamics of commodity prices, and volatility of global financial markets as the main sources of external shocks. We have also examined the influence of the monetary policy of the Bank of Russia, on economic growth, inflation, and ruble exchange rate.</p></trans-abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="ru"><kwd>внешние шоки</kwd><kwd>монетарная политика</kwd><kwd>таргетирование инфляции</kwd><kwd>модель байесовской авторегрессии</kwd></kwd-group><kwd-group xml:lang="en"><kwd>external shocks</kwd><kwd>monetary policy</kwd><kwd>inflation targeting</kwd><kwd>Bayesian vector autoregression</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><back><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="cit1"><label>1</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Дробышевский С. М., Трунин П. В., Каменских М. В. (2009). Анализ правил денежно-кредитной политики Банка России в 1999-2007 гг. // Научные труды ИЭПП. № 127.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Drobyshevsky S.  M., Trunin P.  V., Kamenskikh M.  V. (2009). Analysis of the Rules of Monetary and Credit Policy of Russia in 1999—2007 // IEP Working Paper. 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