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<article article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.3" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xml:lang="ru"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">voprecotest</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="ru">Вопросы экономики</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Voprosy Ekonomiki</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="ppub">0042-8736</issn><publisher><publisher-name>Voprosy Ekonomiki, NP</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.32609/0042-8736-2026-6-31-57</article-id><article-id custom-type="elpub" pub-id-type="custom">voprecotest-5879</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>МИКРОЭКОНОМИКА</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="en"><subject>MICROECONOMICS</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>Структура потребительского спроса и расходы домашних хозяйств в России</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Consumer demand structure and household expenditure in Russia</trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0009-0004-1413-0129</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Панькова</surname><given-names>Д. А.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Pankova</surname><given-names>D. A.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Панькова Дарья Алексеевна - стажер-исследователь Центра исследований производительности Экспертного института (ЭИ) НИУ ВШЭ.</p><p>Москва</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Daria A. Pankova</p><p>Moscow</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">dpankova@hse.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0878-962X</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Терновский</surname><given-names>Д. С.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Ternovsky</surname><given-names>D. S.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Терновский Денис Сергеевич - д. э. н., н. с. Центра исследований производительности ЭИ НИУ ВШЭ.</p><p>Москва</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Denis S. Ternovsky</p><p>Moscow</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">dternovskiy@hse.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0009-0004-8432-5386</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Александрова</surname><given-names>П. В.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Aleksandrova</surname><given-names>P V.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Александрова Полина Владимировна - стажер-исследователь Центра исследований производительности ЭИ НИУ ВШЭ.</p><p>Москва</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Polina V. Aleksandrova</p><p>Moscow</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">paleksandrova@hse.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9769-5894</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Воскобойников</surname><given-names>И. Б.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Voskoboynikov</surname><given-names>I. B.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Воскобойников Илья Борисович - PhD, директор, вед. н. с. Центра исследований производительности ЭИ НИУ ВШЭ.</p><p>Москва</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Ilya B. Voskoboynikov</p><p>Moscow</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">ivoskoboynikov@hse.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3348-3259</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Никулина</surname><given-names>Ю. Н.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Nikulina</surname><given-names>Yu. N.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Никулина Юлия Николаевна - к. э. н., н. с. Центра исследований производительности ЭИ НИУ ВШЭ.</p><p>Москва</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Yulia N. Nikulina</p><p>Moscow</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">ynikulina@hse.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0449-0396</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Метляхин</surname><given-names>А. И.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Metlyakhin</surname><given-names>A. N.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Метляхин Александр Игоревич - к. э. н., эксперт ЭИ НИУ ВШЭ.</p><p>Москва</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Alexander N. Metlyakhin</p><p>Moscow</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">ametlyakhin@hse.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff-alternatives id="aff-1"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>Национальный исследовательский университет «Высшая школа экономики»</institution><country>Россия</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>HSE University</institution><country>Russian Federation</country></aff></aff-alternatives><pub-date pub-type="collection"><year>2026</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>06</day><month>06</month><year>2026</year></pub-date><volume>0</volume><issue>6</issue><fpage>31</fpage><lpage>57</lpage><permissions><copyright-statement>Copyright &amp;#x00A9; Voprosy Ekonomiki, NP, 2026</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2026</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Voprosy Ekonomiki, NP</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Voprosy Ekonomiki, NP</copyright-holder><license xlink:href="https://www.vopreco.ru/jour/about/submissions#copyrightNotice" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>https://www.vopreco.ru/jour/about/submissions#copyrightNotice</license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://www.vopreco.ru/jour/article/view/5879">https://www.vopreco.ru/jour/article/view/5879</self-uri><abstract><p>Рассмотрена структура потребительского спроса российских домохозяйств на основе двухуровневой модели Almost Ideal Demand System. Модель предполагает, что домашнее хозяйство принимает решение о распределении расходов на потребление в два этапа. Сначала оно распределяет расходы на три агрегированные группы продуктов — продовольствие, непродовольственные товары и услуги, а затем — на детализированные категории внутри каждой группы. Получены оценки эластичности для всех агрегированных и детализированных групп продуктов. Результаты в целом соответствуют ожиданиям. В группе «продуктов роскоши» оказались туризм, алкоголь, автомобили и питание вне дома. К «продуктам первой необходимости» отнесены большинство продовольственных и непродовольственных товаров, а также базовые услуги. Выделены продукты с аномально низкой эластичностью по доходу, что свидетельствует об их острой необходимости и слабой связи спроса на них с текущим благосостоянием. Показано, что параметры модели при такой структуре потребления устойчивы. Для каждого продукта из группы продовольственных товаров рассмотрен эффект роста цены на спрос товаров-заменителей, включающий вклад эффектов дохода и замещения. Выделены три типа такой реакции — локальное замещение при общем сжатии расходов, слабая адаптация с доминированием эффекта дохода, а также сложные взаимосвязи с элементами замещения. Построено сценарное распределение дополнительных потребительских расходов, учитывающее макроцели государственной политики.</p></abstract><trans-abstract xml:lang="en"><p>The article examines the structure of consumer demand among Russian households using a two-stage Almost Ideal Demand System (AIDS) model. The model assumes that households allocate their consumption expenditures in two stages. First, they distribute total spending across three broad product groups — food, non-food goods, and services — and then allocate expenditures across more detailed categories within each group. The study estimates elasticities for all aggregate and disaggregated product groups. Overall, the results are consistent with theoretical expectations. Tourism, alcohol, automobiles, and eating out are classified as “luxury goods”, whereas most food and non-food items, as well as basic services, fall into the category of “necessities”. The analysis also identifies products with anomalously low income elasticities, indicating their essential nature and the weak dependence of demand for these goods on households’ current level of well-being. The article shows that, given this structure of consumption, the model parameters are stable, while in the consumption of non-food goods and services the income effect dominates. In addition, for each food product, the study examines the effect of a price increase on the prices of substitute goods, decomposing this response into income and substitution effects. Three types of reactions are identified: local substitution amid an overall contraction of expenditures, weak adaptation dominated by the income effect, and more complex interrelations involving elements of substitution. Finally, the article develops a scenario-based allocation of additional consumer expenditures that takes into account the macro-level objectives of public policy.</p></trans-abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="ru"><kwd>модель спроса</kwd><kwd>потребительское поведение</kwd><kwd>потребление домашних хозяйств</kwd><kwd>эластичность спроса</kwd><kwd>экономическая политика</kwd></kwd-group><kwd-group xml:lang="en"><kwd>demand model</kwd><kwd>consumer behaviour</kwd><kwd>household consumption</kwd><kwd>demand elasticity</kwd><kwd>economic policy</kwd></kwd-group><funding-group><funding-statement xml:lang="ru">Работа выполнена в рамках Программы фундаментальных исследований НИУ ВШЭ (№ HSE-BR-2025-065). В работе использована база данных «Показатели уровня, структуры и динамики потребления домашних хозяйств в регионах России» (номер регистрации в Роспатенте RU 2026621952), подготовленная в рамках проекта НИУ ВШЭ HSE-MS-2025-006 (Экономическое поведение домашних хозяйств)</funding-statement><funding-statement xml:lang="en">The article was prepared within the framework of the HSE University Basic Research Program (No. HSE-BR-2025-065)</funding-statement></funding-group></article-meta></front><back><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="cit1"><label>1</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Берендеева Е. В. (2019). Трансформация российского продовольственного рынка: эффекты дохода и замещения // Экономический журнал Высшей школы экономики. Т. 23, № 4. С. 605—623. https://doi.org/10.17323/1813-8691-201923-4-605-623</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Berendeeva E. V. (2019). Russian food market transformation: Income and substitution effects. 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