voprecotestВопросы экономикиVoprosy Ekonomiki0042-8736Voprosy Ekonomiki, NP10.32609/0042-8736-2013-1-48-68voprecotest-497Research ArticleЭКОНОМИКА ТРУДА И СОЦИАЛЬНОЙ СФЕРЫLABOR AND SOCIAL ECONOMICSЭкономическая оценка людских потерь в результате чрезвычайных ситуацийEconomic Evaluation of Human Losses from DisastersПорфирьевБ. Н.PorfirievB.

член-корр. РАН, д.  э.  н., завлабораторией анализа и прогнозирования природных и техногенных рисков экономики, замдиректора Института народнохозяйственного прогнозирования РАН (Москва)

b_porfiriev@mail.ruИнститут народнохозяйственного прогнозирования РАН (Москва)РоссияInstitute for Economic Forecasting, Russian Academy of Sciences (Moscow, Russia)Russian Federation201320012013014868Copyright © Voprosy Ekonomiki, NP, 20132013Voprosy Ekonomiki, NPVoprosy Ekonomiki, NPhttps://www.vopreco.ru/jour/about/submissions#copyrightNoticehttps://www.vopreco.ru/jour/article/view/497

В статье проанализированы подходы к экономической оценке потерь от преждевременной и дополнительной смертности в результате чрезвычайных ситуаций природного и техногенного характера. Представлены методика и результаты конкретной оценки таких потерь применительно к последствиям волн жары и пожаров летом 2010 г. для населения Москвы. Особое внимание уделено обоснованию и рекомендациям по обеспечению корректности указанной оценки для условий России, учитывающих, с одной стороны, недостатки отечественной нормативной и методической базы, а с другой — зарубежный опыт экономической оценки людских потерь от преждевременной и дополнительной смертности и определения ценности среднестатистической жизни.

The paper overviews the existing methodologies for evaluating economic losses incurred by untimely and additional deaths provoked by natural and technological disasters. It also reveals the improved methodology of such an assessment based on welfare theory and international comparisons approach, and outcomes of the case study using this methodology for calculating economic value of human losses from heat waves and wildfires’ impact on the Moscow region. Special attention is paid to substantiation and recommendations to provide correctness of such evaluation to improve its legal and methodological bases in Russia using international experience of calculation of statistical life value.

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The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.