voprecotestВопросы экономикиVoprosy Ekonomiki0042-8736Voprosy Ekonomiki, NP10.32609/0042-8736-2023-8-100-122voprecotest-4295Research ArticleМИКРОЭКОНОМИКАMICROECONOMICSОценка снижения эффективности российских компаний от ухода зарубежных вендоров ИТ-продуктовEvaluation of losses in the efficiency for Russian companies due to the foreign IT vendors withdrawal from the markethttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-5838-1331НайденоваЮ. Н.NaidenovaI. N.

Найденова Юлия Николаевна, кандидат экономических наук, замзаведующего Международной лаборатории экономики нематериальных активов

Пермь 

Iuliia N. Naidenova

Perm

yunaydenova@hse.ruhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-7568-6428ТеплыхГ. В.TeplykhG. V.

Теплых Григорий Васильевич, младший научный сотрудник Международной лаборатории экономики нематериальных активов

Пермь

Grigorii V. Teplykh

Perm

teplykhgv@gmail.comНациональный исследовательский университет «Высшая школа экономики»РоссияHSE UniversityRussian Federation20230108202308100122Copyright © Voprosy Ekonomiki, NP, 20232023Voprosy Ekonomiki, NPVoprosy Ekonomiki, NPhttps://www.vopreco.ru/jour/about/submissions#copyrightNoticehttps://www.vopreco.ru/jour/article/view/4295

На информации о деятельности 6 тыс. российских компаний за 15 лет (2007—2021 гг.) оценены их потери в результате применения санкций против России и ухода части иностранных вендоров ИТ-продуктов. Моделирование производственной функции выявило, что российские фирмы в среднем примерно одинаково зависят от отечественных и зарубежных цифровых продуктов, что говорит о среднем уровне риска, но влияние неоднородное. Иностранные продукты имеют нелинейный (убывающий) эффект, а российские влияют линейно. Отдача от ИТ и риск потери эффективности существенно меняются во времени и варьируют между отраслями. Можно предположить, что экономика страны сохранит эффективность в ближайшей перспективе, но уход зарубежных вендоров создает угрозы для ее долгосрочного развития.

The current study aims to evaluate losses in the efficiency for Russian firms from the departure of foreign vendors based on data covering the activity of 6 thousand companies over 15 years (2007—2021). Modeling within the production function approach revealed that Russian firms, on average, are approximately equally dependent on domestic and foreign digital products, that indicates a moderate level of risk. At the same time, the influence is very heterogeneous. Foreign products have a non-linear (decreasing) effect, while Russian products have a linear impact. The returns to IT and the risk of loss in the efficiency vary greatly over time and across industries. Summarizing different results, we assume that the Russian economy could maintain efficiency in the short term; however, the departure of foreign vendors creates significant threats to its long-term development.

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The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.