voprecotestВопросы экономикиVoprosy Ekonomiki0042-8736Voprosy Ekonomiki, NP10.32609/0042-8736-2017-12-5-23voprecotest-421Research ArticleЭКОНОМИЧЕСКИЙ РОСТ: АЛЬТЕРНАТИВНЫЕ ПОДХОДЫECONOMIC GROWTH: ALTERNATIVE APPROACHESВ поисках новой модели ростаSearching for a New Growth ModelИдрисовГ. И.IdrisovG.

д. э.н., завлабораторией исследований отраслевых рынков и инфраструктуры Института прикладных экономических исследований (ИПЭИ) РАНХиГС, руководитель направления «Реальный сектор» Института экономической политики (ИЭП) имени Е.  Т.  Гайдара (Москва)

idrisov@iep.ruМауВ. А.MauV.

д.э.н., проф., ректор РАНХиГС (Москва)

rector@ranepa.ruБожечковаА. В.BozhechkovaA.

к. э.н., с.н. с. Центра изучения проблем центральных банков ИПЭИ РАНХиГС, завлабораторией денежно-кредитной политики Научного направления «Макроэкономика и финансы» ИЭП (Москва)

Bojechkova@ranepa.ruРАНХиГС; Институт экономической политики (ИЭП) имени Е. Т. ГайдараРоссияRussian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration; Gaidar Institute for Economic PolicyRussian FederationРАНХиГСРоссияRussian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public AdministrationRussian Federation201720122017012523Copyright © Voprosy Ekonomiki, NP, 20172017Voprosy Ekonomiki, NPVoprosy Ekonomiki, NPhttps://www.vopreco.ru/jour/about/submissions#copyrightNoticehttps://www.vopreco.ru/jour/article/view/421

В статье обсуждаются современные представления о движущих силах, лежащих в основе моделей экономического роста, которые используются при принятии экономико-политических решений. На основе изучения классических механизмов экономического роста выявлены различия между конкурирующими стратегиями развития России на среднесрочную перспективу и приведены аргументы в пользу того, что некоторые из этих механизмов, по-видимому, перестают работать (гипотеза новой долговременной стагнации). При формулировании основ новой экономико-инвестиционной модели выдвинуты три гипотезы о новых механизмах роста, которые необходимо учитывать при разработке действенной стратегии развития нашей страны.

The article discusses modern concepts and drivers that underlie economic growth models which serve as a basis for making economic and political decisions. Drawing on the fundamental economic growth mechanisms, the authors describe the differences among three competing Russian mid-term development strategies. They argue that some of the fundamental mechanisms seem to stop working (partly due to secular stagnation). Formulating the shapes of a new economic-investment model, the authors offer three hypotheses about new growth mechanisms that should be taken into account when building up an effective development strategy for our country.

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The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.