voprecotestВопросы экономикиVoprosy Ekonomiki0042-8736Voprosy Ekonomiki, NP10.32609/0042-8736-2017-7-142-157voprecotest-328Research ArticleНАУЧНЫЕ СООБЩЕНИЯRESEARCH NOTESРоботы и потенциальная технологическая безработицав регионах России: опыт изучения и предварительные оценкиRobots and potential technological unemployment in the Russian regions: Review and preliminary resultsЗемцовС. П.ZemtsovS.

к. г. н., старший научный сотрудник Института прикладных экономических исследований РАНХиГС (Москва)

spzemtsov@gmail.comРАНХиГСРоссияRussian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public AdministrationRussian Federation20172007201707142157Copyright © Voprosy Ekonomiki, NP, 20172017Voprosy Ekonomiki, NPVoprosy Ekonomiki, NPhttps://www.vopreco.ru/jour/about/submissions#copyrightNoticehttps://www.vopreco.ru/jour/article/view/328

Применение робототехники может привести к снижению уровня занятости. В статье обсуждаются компенсационные механизмы и противоречивые результаты эмпирических исследований на эту тему. На основе методики международных сопоставлений оценена доля потенциально автоматизируемых рабочих мест в регионах России, составившая около 44%, что ниже, чем в большинстве развитых стран. Часть работников могут оказаться не готовыми к непрерывному обучению, к конкуренции с роботами, соответственно существует вероятность их исключения из хозяйственной деятельности.

The use of unmanned technologies can cause a decrease in the level of employment. The article discusses the compensation mechanisms and conflicting results of empirical studies. On the basis of internationally comparable methods, it was estimated that about 44% of the workers in Russia can be replaced, which is lower than in most developed countries. In the regions, specializing in the manufacturing industry, this value is higher, the least values are in the least developed regions. Some people will not be ready for life-long learning, competition with robots, and accordingly there is a possibility of their social exclusion in the future.

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The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.