voprecotestВопросы экономикиVoprosy Ekonomiki0042-8736Voprosy Ekonomiki, NP10.32609/0042-8736-2017-2-5-29voprecotest-275Research ArticleМАКРОЭКОНОМИЧЕСКАЯ ПОЛИТИКАMACROECONOMIC POLICYУроки стабилизации и перспективы роста: экономическая политика России в 2016 годуThe lessons of stabilization and prospects of growth:Russia’s economic policy in 2016МауВ. А.MauV.

д. э. н., проф., ректор Российской академии народного хозяйства и государственной службы при Президенте РФ (Москва)

rector@ranepa.ruРоссийская академия народного хозяйства и государственной службы при Президенте РФРоссияRussian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public AdministrationRussian Federation20172002201702529Copyright © Voprosy Ekonomiki, NP, 20172017Voprosy Ekonomiki, NPVoprosy Ekonomiki, NPhttps://www.vopreco.ru/jour/about/submissions#copyrightNoticehttps://www.vopreco.ru/jour/article/view/275

Экономический рост стал ключевым вопросом в повестке развитых стран, включая Россию. В статье рассматриваются существующие в настоящее время гипотезы, объясняющие замедление темпов роста и производительности: недостаток спроса (циклический фактор); особенности современной фазы технологического прогресса, ограничивающие предложение инноваций (технологические факторы); особенности антикризисной политики, препятствующие «созидательному разрушению» (политические факторы); неадекватность современных методов оценки экономического роста (фактор статистики). Проблема роста в значительной мере формирует ставший вновь актуальным популизм, который рассматривается в статье с точки зрения его влияния на экономическую политику. Исходя из глобальных вызовов, анализируются итоги антикризисной политики России 2015-2016 гг., главный из которых - успешная адаптация России к новым глобальным экономико-политическим реалиям.

Economic growth is the key challenge at the political agenda of the leading countries including Russia. This papers discusses existing hypotheses of “secular stagnation” and “productivity paradox” - demand side problems (cyclical factors); special features of technological innovations (technological factors); anti-crisis policy preventing “creative destruction” (political factors); irrelevance of GDP measurement (statistical problems). Limits of growth contribute to a new global policy trend - emerging of populism, and the paper discusses the prospects of transformation of political populism to economic one. Global challenges provide the basis for further analysis of Russian economic development, and particularly the results of 2015-2016 anti-crisis policy, which helped the national economy to adapt to new economic realities of the post-crisis world.

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The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.