voprecotestВопросы экономикиVoprosy Ekonomiki0042-8736Voprosy Ekonomiki, NP10.32609/0042-8736-2020-10-68-82voprecotest-2703Research ArticleМАКРОЭКОНОМИЧЕСКИЕ ИССЛЕДОВАНИЯMACROECONOMIC RESEARCHДоверие и экономический рост: есть ли связь?Trust and economic growth: Is there a relation?https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0961-8021БорисоваЕ. И.BorisovaE. I.

Борисова Екатерина Ивановна, кандидат экономических наук, замдиректора Международного центра изучения институтов и развития, доцент факультета экономических наук

Москва

Ekaterina I. Borisova  

Moscow

eborisova@hse.ruhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-3613-7004БрызгалинВ. А.BryzgalinV. A.

Брызгалин Виктор Аркадьевич, вед специалист отдела прикладных исследований Института национальных проектов, аспирант экономического факультета МГУ

Москва

Viktor A. Bryzgalin  

Moscow

vvaabb2010@mail.ruhttps://orcid.org/0000-0001-9756-5005ЛевинаИ. А.LevinaI. A.

Левина Ирина Александровна, научный сотрудник Международного центра изучения институтов и развития

Москва

Irina A. Levina  

Moscow

ilevina@hse.ruНациональный исследовательский университет "Высшая школа экономики"РоссияNational Research University Higher School of EconomicsRussian FederationИнститут национальных проектов; МГУ имени М. В. ЛомоносоваРоссияInstitute for National Projects; Lomonosov Moscow State UniversityRussian FederationНациональный исследовательский университет «Высшая школа экономики»РоссияNational Research University Higher School of EconomicsRussian Federation2020260920200106882Copyright © Voprosy Ekonomiki, NP, 20202020Voprosy Ekonomiki, NPVoprosy Ekonomiki, NPhttps://www.vopreco.ru/jour/about/submissions#copyrightNoticehttps://www.vopreco.ru/jour/article/view/2703

В статье изучается связь между доверием и экономическим ростом. Рассматривается история вопроса и проводится эмпирический анализ с привлечением всех доступных данных Всемирного исследования ценностей (World Values Survey) и Европейского исследования ценностей (European Values Study), включая данные за последние годы. Показано, что результат классических моделей о положительной связи между доверием и темпами экономического роста не воспроизводится на современных данных. Более того, ни рассмотрение альтернативных показателей доверия, ни разбиение стран на группы в зависимости от качества институтов не приводит к появлению связи. В статье обсуждаются возможные причины отсутствия связи между доверием и экономическим ростом в последние годы, в частности, меняющаяся роль доверия в современном мире. Делается вывод о необходимости более детального изучения механизмов связи между доверием и экономическим ростом.

We study the relation between trust and economic growth. We explore the history of the topic and conduct empirical analysis using all the available data from the World Values Survey and the European Values Study, including data for the recent years. We show that results of the classic models that establish positive relation between trust and economic growth do not replicate on the most recent data. Moreover, neither use of alternative indicators of trust, nor dividing the countries into the groups depending on institutional quality yields to the appearance of relation. We discuss possible reasons for the absence of relation between trust and economic growth in the recent years, in particular, the changing role of trust in the modern world, and point to the importance of more detailed exploration of the mechanisms of relation between trust and economic growth.

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The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.