voprecotestВопросы экономикиVoprosy Ekonomiki0042-8736Voprosy Ekonomiki, NP10.32609/0042-8736-2020-1-111-126voprecotest-2602Research ArticleФИНАНСОВАЯ ЭКОНОМИКАFINANCIAL ECONOMICSАсимметрия информационных волн в экономическом мышлении: опыт финансовых кризисовThe asymmetry of information waves in economic thinking: The experience of financial criseshttps://orcid.org/0000-0003-1350-4163КоноплевД. Э.KonoplevD. E.

Коноплев Дмитрий Эдуардович, к. филол. н., доцент кафедры журналистики и массовых коммуникаций факультета журналистики

dmitrijkonoplev@ya.ruЧелябинский государственный университетРоссияChelyabinsk State UniversityRussian Federation20200801202001111126Copyright © Voprosy Ekonomiki, NP, 20202020Voprosy Ekonomiki, NPVoprosy Ekonomiki, NPhttps://www.vopreco.ru/jour/about/submissions#copyrightNoticehttps://www.vopreco.ru/jour/article/view/2602

В статье на примере кризисов 1998, 2008 и 2014 годов рассматривается феномен асимметрии информационных волн и связь их новостного следа с рыночными индикаторами и валютными курсами. Сопоставляются частотные характеристики упоминаемости определенных конструкций в СМИ и группы финансовых показателей. Контент-анализ и сравнительный анализ показывают, что репрезентация кризисов в российских медиа совпадает с реальным положением дел в национальной экономике только на начальном этапе, после чего кризисы перестают отражаться в экономическом мышлении сообразно их значению. Сделан вывод о прогнозируемости масштабов экономических кризисов по размерам острой фазы порождаемых ими информационных волн.

The paper considers the asymmetry of information waves and the relation of their news trails with market indicators and exchange rates. It draws on the crises of 1998, 2008 and 2014. The relationship between information waves and scenarios for the development of economic crises is established by comparing the frequency characteristics of certain phrases in the media and the group of financial indicators. A comparative and content analysis shows that the representation of crises in the Russian media coincides with the real state of the national economy only at the initial stage, after which the crises cease to be reflected in economic thinking in accordance with their significance. Thus, the paper concludes that the scale of economic crises is predictable in terms of the size of the information waves’ acute phase generated by these crises.

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The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.