voprecotestВопросы экономикиVoprosy Ekonomiki0042-8736Voprosy Ekonomiki, NP10.32609/0042-8736-2016-9-111-128voprecotest-232Research ArticleЭКОНОМИКА ТРУДА И СОЦИАЛЬНОЙ СФЕРЫLABOR AND SOCIAL ECONOMICSЭластичность предложения на российском рынке трудаLabor supply elasticity in RussiaКлепиковаЕ. А.KlepikovaE.

аспирант факультета экономических наук департамента прикладной экономики НИУ ВШЭ (Москва)

eamaltseva@hse.ruНИУ ВШЭРоссияNational Research University Higher School of EconomicsRussian Federation20162009201609111128Copyright © Voprosy Ekonomiki, NP, 20162016Voprosy Ekonomiki, NPVoprosy Ekonomiki, NPhttps://www.vopreco.ru/jour/about/submissions#copyrightNoticehttps://www.vopreco.ru/jour/article/view/232

В работе оценивается эластичность предложения труда - количества рабочих часов и вероятности экономической активности - по заработной плате. Исследование основано на данных Российского мониторинга экономического положения и здоровья населения (РМЭЗ-ВШЭ) за 2004-2014 гг. Оценки рассчитаны при помощи четырехшаговой процедуры, базирующейся на модели Хекмана. Согласно нашим расчетам, эластичность часов работы незначимо отличается от нуля для всех рассматриваемых групп, кроме замужних женщин, для которых она значимо отрицательная. Эластичность вероятности экономической активности положительная, однако невелика для людей в возрасте 25-54 лет и значительно выше для лиц раннего пенсионного возраста. Возможность использовать полученные оценки иллюстрируется на примере влияния на предложение труда потенциального изменения НДФЛ и пенсионной реформы.

The paper estimates wage elasticity of labor supply in Russia - both intensive and extensive margins. Empirical research is based on the Russia Longitudinal Monitoring Survey - Higher School of Economics data for the period from 2004 to 2014. The study uses an adaptation of the Heckman selection model, estimation proceeds in four stages. It is shown that elasticity of the decision regarding hours worked is insignificant for all demographic groups with the exception of married women, for whom it is significantly negative. The elasticity regarding the decision to participate is positive, but quite low for people aged 25-54, and is much higher for those in the early retirement age. The possible application of the obtained estimates is demonstrated by measuring potential effect of personal income tax and pension system reforms on the labor supply.

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The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.