voprecotestВопросы экономикиVoprosy Ekonomiki0042-8736Voprosy Ekonomiki, NP10.32609/0042-8736-2017-9-5-27voprecotest-22Research ArticleЭКОНОМИЧЕСКАЯ ПОЛИТИКАECONOMIC POLICYБюджетный маневр и структурная перестройка российской экономикиFiscal maneuver and restructuring the Russian economyКудринА. Л.KudrinA.

к. э. н., проф. Санкт-Петербургского государственного университета, председатель Совета фонда «Центр стратегических разработок» (Москва)

noemail@neicon.ruСоколовИ. А.SokolovI.

к. э. н., завлабораторией исследований бюджетной политики ИПЭИ Российской академии народного хозяйства и государственной службы при Президенте РФ (Москва)

Sokolov@iep.ruСанкт-Петербургский государственный университет ; Фонд «Центр стратегических разработок»РоссияSt. Petersburg State University; Fund “Center for Strategic Research”Russian FederationРоссийская академия народного хозяйства и государственной службы при Президенте РФРоссияRussian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public AdministrationRussian Federation20172009201709527Copyright © Voprosy Ekonomiki, NP, 20172017Voprosy Ekonomiki, NPVoprosy Ekonomiki, NPhttps://www.vopreco.ru/jour/about/submissions#copyrightNoticehttps://www.vopreco.ru/jour/article/view/22

В работе обсуждается формирование параметров российской бюджетной системы на период до 2024 г. Для обеспечения ее долгосрочной устойчивости предлагается после достижения текущей сбалансированности стабилизировать доходы и расходы на уровнях, различающихся на стоимость обслуживания долга, и далее использовать модифицированную версию бюджетного правила. В качестве способа заметно ускорить экономический рост рассматривается проведение бюджетного маневра, предусматривающего повышение удельного веса производительных расходов (инвестиций в человеческий и физический капитал) за счет остальных статей. Дается краткое описание конкретных направлений использования дополнительного финансирования образования, здравоохранения и развития транспортной системы, а также приводятся возможные меры по оптимизации непроизводительных расходов.

The paper discusses fiscal policy parameters for the period through 2024. The suggested way to ensure long-term fiscal stability is stabilization of both the general government revenues and expenditure in percent of GDP at levels differing by the public debt service payments, and then applying a new version of the fiscal rule. Redistribution of fiscal spending from “unproductive” to “productive” areas (primarily investment in human and physical capital) is considered as a way to boost economic growth. Possible use of additional spending on education, public health, and transport system is presented, as well as optimization of expenditures in “nonproductive” areas.

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The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.