voprecotestВопросы экономикиVoprosy Ekonomiki0042-8736Voprosy Ekonomiki, NP10.32609/0042-8736-2019-1-54-78voprecotest-2134Research ArticleМИРОВАЯ ЭКОНОМИКА И РОССИЯGLOBAL ECONOMY AND RUSSIAО взаимосвязи структурных изменений и экономического роста в мировой экономике и РоссииOn the relationship of structural changes and economic growth in the world economy and Russiahttps://orcid.org/0000-0001-7877-9817МироновВ. В.MironovV. V.

Миронов Валерий Викторович, к. э. н., замдиректора Института «Центр развития» НИУ ВШЭ

Москва

Valery V. Mironov

Moscow

vmironov@hse.ruhttps://orcid.org/0000-0003-1374-0908КоноваловаЛ. Д.KonovalovaL. D.

Коновалова Людмила Дмитриевна, эксперт Института «Центр развития» НИУ ВШЭ

Москва

Liudmila D. Konovalova

Moscow

lkonovalova@hse.ruНациональный исследовательский университет «Высшая школа экономики»РоссияNational Research University Higher School of EconomicsRussian Federation201914012019015478Copyright © Voprosy Ekonomiki, NP, 20192019Voprosy Ekonomiki, NPVoprosy Ekonomiki, NPhttps://www.vopreco.ru/jour/about/submissions#copyrightNoticehttps://www.vopreco.ru/jour/article/view/2134

В статье анализируется взаимосвязь структурных изменений и экономического роста в мировой экономике и России. Отмечено появление в мировой экономике модели роста, основанной на взаимодополнении видов экономической политики, которые направлены, с одной стороны, на развитие фундаментальных основ роста ВВП (институты, человеческий капитал, инфраструктура, макроэкономическая стабилизация), а с другой — на инициацию роста (при стабильных фундаментальных основах) за счет мер структурной политики. При изучении трендов структурных изменений в мировой экономике рассмотрены новые формы политики такого рода, в частности нацеленной на выделение секторов — драйверов экономического роста на базе портфельного подхода. Предложена предварительная версия модели российской экономики, основанной на мультисекторной разновидности закона Тирлволла.

The article analyzes the relationship between structural changes and economic growth in the world economy and Russia. The authors note the emergence of a growth model in the world economy based on the complementarity of economic policies aimed, on the one hand, at the development of fundamental foundations of economic growth (institutions, human capital, infrastructure, macroeconomic stabilization), and, on the other hand, at initiating growth through structural reforms (even under stable foundations). Analyzing the trends of structural changes in the world economy, the authors consider new forms of structural policy, in particular, the ones oriented at the issue of identification of sectors — potential drivers of economic growth using the portfolio approach. A preliminary version of the model of Russian economy based on the multi-sector variety of the Thirlwall’s law is presented in the paper.

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The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.