voprecotestВопросы экономикиVoprosy Ekonomiki0042-8736Voprosy Ekonomiki, NP10.32609/0042-8736-2005-1-144-153voprecotest-1398Research ArticleНОБЕЛЕВСКИЕ ЛАУРЕАТЫ ПО ЭКОНОМИКЕNOBEL PRIZE LAUREATESКонцепция реальных экономических циклов и ее роль в эволюции макроэкономической теорииThe Concept of Real Economic Cycles and Its Role in Evolution of MacroeconomicsЗамулинО.ZamulinO.

доктор экономики, профессор Российской экономической школы, ведущий экономист

 

Центр экономических и финансовых исследований и разработок (ЦЭФИР)РоссияCentre for Economic and Financial ResearchRussian Federation20052001200501144153Copyright © Voprosy Ekonomiki, NP, 20052005Voprosy Ekonomiki, NPVoprosy Ekonomiki, NPhttps://www.vopreco.ru/jour/about/submissions#copyrightNoticehttps://www.vopreco.ru/jour/article/view/1398

В статье рассматривается вклад нобелевских лауреатов 2004 г. Э. Прескотта и Ф. Кюдланда в развитие теории экономических циклов. Анализируются история развития макроэкономической теории начиная с 1930-х годов, включая раннюю кейнсианскую теорию, появление гипотезы рациональных ожиданий, споры между новыми классиками и новыми кейнсианцами. Упор делается на текущие различия между точками зрения сторонников равновесных моделей, разработанных Прескоттом и Кюдландом, и сторонниками гипотезы жестких цен и неполной информации. Обсуждаются перспективы сближения этих направлений макроэкономики.

The article discusses the contribution of the 2004 Nobel Prize winners in Economics, F. Kydland and E. Prescott, to business cycle theory. To place this contribution in historical perspective, development of macroeconomic science at large, beginning with 1930, is discussed, including the early Keynesian theories, rational expectations revolution, and the modern debate between New Keynesians and New Classicals. Special emphasis is then made on the differences between the modern general equilibrium theories proposed by Kydland and Prescott and the supporters of theories based on sticky prices and imperfect information. The article is concluded by a discussion of room for consensus between these two branches of macroeconomics.

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The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.