voprecotestВопросы экономикиVoprosy Ekonomiki0042-8736Voprosy Ekonomiki, NP10.32609/0042-8736-2015-11-144-155voprecotest-135Research ArticleРАЗМЫШЛЕНИЯ НАД КНИГОЙREFLECTIONS ON THE BOOKВеликая перестройка мировой экономики (О книге А. А. Акаева «От эпохи Великой дивергенции к эпохе Великой конвергенции»)Great Reshuffle of the World Economy (On the Book by A. A. Akaev "From the Epoch of Great Divergence to the Epoch of Great Convergence")КлиновВ. Г.KlinovV.

д. э. н., проф. МГИМО-Университета (Москва)

vg.klinov@mail.ruМГИМО-УниверситетРоссияMoscow State Institute of International Relations (MGIMO University) (Moscow, Russia)Russian Federation201520112015011144155Copyright © Voprosy Ekonomiki, NP, 20152015Voprosy Ekonomiki, NPVoprosy Ekonomiki, NPhttps://www.vopreco.ru/jour/about/submissions#copyrightNoticehttps://www.vopreco.ru/jour/article/view/135

В статье рассмотрены сдвиги в соотношении сил между передовыми и развивающимися странами, а также перспективы развития мировой экономики до середины нынешнего столетия. Обозначены основные подходы к моделированию экономического роста. Выявлены проблемы использования концепции больших циклов для прогнозирования научно-технического прогресса и интенсивной составляющей роста мировой экономики.

A dramatic shift in the balance of economic power among advanced and developing countries is demonstrated by comparing GDP of the largest economies. The world economy prospects are also evaluated up to the middle of the current century. Major ways of economic growth models building are considered. Problems of long waves of economic development concept application for forecasting advances in technology and GDP growth per capita have been outlined.

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The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.